AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Apr 13, 2025

SC Braga

Home
VS
17:00

AVS

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
SC Braga Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
AVS Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 86%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.39 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.4 Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
SC Braga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
AVS Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
SC Braga Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 12 SC Braga vs São João … 3-3
Apr 07 SC Braga vs Sp Lisbon 1-1
Mar 30 SC Braga vs Sanjoanen… 0-1
Mar 29 SC Braga vs Arouca 2-1
Mar 15 SC Braga vs Farense 0-1
Mar 15 SC Braga vs São João … 1-0
Mar 09 SC Braga vs Sanjoanen… 1-1
Mar 08 SC Braga vs FC Porto 1-0
Mar 02 SC Braga vs Rio Ave FC 2-1
Feb 26 SC Braga vs Benfica 1-0
AVS Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 04 AVS vs Estoril 0-3
Mar 30 AVS vs Famalicao 4-1
Mar 15 AVS vs FC Porto 2-0
Mar 08 AVS vs Arouca 0-1
Mar 02 AVS vs Farense 0-1
Feb 23 AVS vs Sporting … 2-2
Feb 23 AVS vs Sp Lisbon 2-2
Feb 16 AVS vs Rio Ave FC 1-1
Feb 08 AVS vs Santa Cla… 1-2
Feb 01 AVS vs Guimaraes 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • AVS struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 01, 2024 AVS 0 - 1 SC Braga Primeira Liga
Dec 01, 2024 AVS 0 - 1 SC Braga Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: SC Braga to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
SC Braga Power 0
AVS Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

SC Braga Position

+13

Position Gap

18

AVS Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.