AI Match Insights

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Feminine Division 1 May 17, 2024

Lyon Women

Home
VS
19:00

Paris Saint-Germain Women

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Lyon Women Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Paris Saint-Germain Women Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 13%
xG: 4.50 - 0.81
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Lyon Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (2%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Lyon Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
May 12 Lyon Women vs Stade de … 6-0
May 08 Lyon Women vs Bordeaux 2-1
Apr 28 Lyon Women vs Paris Sai… 1-2
Apr 24 Lyon Women vs Guingamp 2-1
Apr 20 Lyon Women vs Paris Sai… 3-2
Apr 14 Lyon Women vs Saint-Éti… 1-6
Mar 31 Lyon Women vs Le Havre … 3-0
Mar 23 Lyon Women vs Lille 0-7
Mar 15 Lyon Women vs FC Fleury… 4-0
Mar 03 Lyon Women vs Dijon Wom… 1-3
Paris Saint-Germain Women Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
May 11 Paris Sai… vs Paris FC … 2-2
May 08 Paris Sai… vs Stade de … 2-1
Apr 28 Paris Sai… vs Lyon Women 1-2
Apr 24 Paris Sai… vs Paris FC … 1-1
Apr 20 Paris Sai… vs Lyon Women 3-2
Apr 13 Paris Sai… vs Guingamp 3-3
Mar 31 Paris Sai… vs Dijon Wom… 3-0
Mar 24 Paris Sai… vs Montpelli… 1-3
Mar 16 Paris Sai… vs Saint-Éti… 5-0
Mar 02 Paris Sai… vs Le Havre … 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lyon Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Paris Saint-Germain Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 28, 2024 Paris Saint-Germain… 1 - 2 Lyon Women UEFA Champions…
Apr 20, 2024 Lyon Women 3 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain… UEFA Champions…
Feb 11, 2024 Lyon Women 1 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain… Feminine Divis…
Oct 01, 2023 Paris Saint-Germain… 0 - 1 Lyon Women Feminine Divis…
May 21, 2023 Paris Saint-Germain… 0 - 1 Lyon Women Feminine Divis…
Final Verdict

PRO: Lyon Women to win (69% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 69% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lyon Women Power 66
Paris Saint-Germain Women Power 50
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Lyon Women Position

+4

Position Gap

5

Paris Saint-Germain Women Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 71%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.