AI Match Insights

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Serie A Women Apr 12, 2025

AC Milan Women

Home
VS
13:00

Fiorentina Women

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
AC Milan Women Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Fiorentina Women Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.87 - 0.54
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.5
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AC Milan Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Fiorentina Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
AC Milan Women Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 22 AC Milan … vs Roma Women 3-1
Mar 16 AC Milan … vs Inter Mil… 3-3
Mar 09 AC Milan … vs Juventus … 2-2
Mar 02 AC Milan … vs Fiorentin… 0-0
Feb 09 AC Milan … vs Juventus … 0-6
Feb 01 AC Milan … vs Sassuolo … 2-3
Jan 28 AC Milan … vs Fiorentin… 2-0
Jan 16 AC Milan … vs Fiorentin… 1-1
Jan 12 AC Milan … vs Napoli Wo… 6-0
Dec 08 AC Milan … vs Inter Mil… 1-1
Fiorentina Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 29 Fiorentin… vs Roma Women 2-0
Mar 23 Fiorentin… vs Inter Mil… 1-0
Mar 15 Fiorentin… vs Juventus … 0-2
Mar 02 Fiorentin… vs AC Milan … 0-0
Feb 09 Fiorentin… vs Roma Women 0-0
Feb 01 Fiorentin… vs Inter Mil… 2-0
Jan 28 Fiorentin… vs AC Milan … 2-0
Jan 25 Fiorentin… vs Lazio Wom… 2-0
Jan 16 Fiorentin… vs AC Milan … 1-1
Jan 11 Fiorentin… vs Como Women 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 02, 2025 Fiorentina Women 0 - 0 AC Milan Women Serie A Women
Jan 28, 2025 Fiorentina Women 2 - 0 AC Milan Women Coppa Italia W…
Jan 16, 2025 AC Milan Women 1 - 1 Fiorentina Women Coppa Italia W…
Nov 24, 2024 Fiorentina Women 2 - 2 AC Milan Women Serie A Women
Sep 14, 2024 AC Milan Women 1 - 2 Fiorentina Women Serie A Women
Feb 03, 2024 AC Milan Women 2 - 2 Fiorentina Women Serie A Women
Nov 04, 2023 Fiorentina Women 1 - 0 AC Milan Women Serie A Women
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AC Milan Women Power 0
Fiorentina Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

AC Milan Women Position

+2

Position Gap

6

Fiorentina Women Position
Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.