AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Coppa Italia May 14, 2025

Bologna

Home
VS
19:00

AC Milan

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Bologna Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
AC Milan Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.57 - 0.68
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.7
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bologna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
AC Milan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Bologna Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 09 Bologna vs AC Milan 3-1
May 04 Bologna vs Juventus 1-1
Apr 28 Bologna vs Udinese 0-0
Apr 24 Bologna vs Empoli 2-1
Apr 20 Bologna vs Inter 1-0
Apr 13 Bologna vs Atalanta 2-0
Apr 07 Bologna vs Napoli 1-1
Apr 01 Bologna vs Empoli 0-3
Mar 29 Bologna vs Venezia 0-1
Mar 16 Bologna vs Lazio 5-0
AC Milan Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
May 09 AC Milan vs Bologna 3-1
May 05 AC Milan vs Genoa 1-2
Apr 27 AC Milan vs Venezia 0-2
Apr 23 AC Milan vs Inter 0-3
Apr 20 AC Milan vs Atalanta 0-1
Apr 11 AC Milan vs Udinese 0-4
Apr 05 AC Milan vs Fiorentina 2-2
Apr 02 AC Milan vs Inter 1-1
Mar 30 AC Milan vs Napoli 2-1
Mar 15 AC Milan vs Como 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • AC Milan in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 09, 2025 AC Milan 3 - 1 Bologna Serie A
Feb 27, 2025 Bologna 2 - 1 AC Milan Serie A
Jan 27, 2024 AC Milan 2 - 2 Bologna Pro League
Jan 27, 2024 AC Milan 2 - 2 Bologna Serie A
Aug 21, 2023 Bologna 0 - 2 AC Milan Serie A
Apr 15, 2023 Bologna 1 - 1 AC Milan Serie A
Aug 27, 2022 AC Milan 2 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Apr 04, 2022 AC Milan 0 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Oct 23, 2021 Bologna 2 - 4 AC Milan Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bologna to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bologna Power 36
AC Milan Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.