AI Match Insights
Serie B May 09, 2025
Juve Stabia
HomeVS
18:30
Reggiana 1919
AwayAI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Juve Stabia Win
Draw
Reggiana 1919 Win
Home Win
(43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
76%
Market
50%
Combined: 55%
Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.33 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.4
Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Juve Stabia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Reggiana 1919 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%)
2-0 (13%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (6%)
2-1 (6%)
1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
Juve Stabia Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| May 04 | Juve Stab… vs Brescia | 0-0 |
| May 01 | Juve Stab… vs Catanzaro | 2-0 |
| Apr 27 | Juve Stab… vs Sudtirol | 2-0 |
| Apr 13 | Juve Stab… vs Cremonese | 1-1 |
| Apr 05 | Juve Stab… vs Salernita… | 1-0 |
| Mar 30 | Juve Stab… vs Cosenza | 1-2 |
| Mar 15 | Juve Stab… vs Monza | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Juve Stab… vs Mantova | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Juve Stab… vs Cittadella | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Juve Stab… vs Pisa | 3-1 |
Reggiana 1919 Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| May 04 | Reggiana … vs Spezia | 2-1 |
| May 01 | Reggiana … vs Monza | 2-3 |
| Apr 25 | Reggiana … vs Cittadella | 2-1 |
| Apr 12 | Reggiana … vs Pisa | 0-2 |
| Apr 04 | Reggiana … vs Cremonese | 1-2 |
| Mar 29 | Reggiana … vs Sassuolo | 5-1 |
| Mar 16 | Reggiana … vs Sampdoria | 2-2 |
| Mar 07 | Reggiana … vs Cosenza | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Reggiana … vs Catanzaro | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Reggiana … vs Carrarese | 2-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Reggiana 1919 in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2024 | Reggiana 1919 | 2 - 1 | Juve Stabia | Pro League |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Reggiana 1919 | 2 - 1 | Juve Stabia | Serie B |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Juve Stabia to win (55% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
55% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Juve Stabia Power
35
Reggiana 1919 Power
32
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
7
Juve Stabia Position+8
Position Gap15
Reggiana 1919 Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.