AI Match Insights

Serie B May 09, 2025

Juve Stabia

Home
VS
18:30

Reggiana 1919

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Juve Stabia Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Reggiana 1919 Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.33 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.4 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Juve Stabia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Reggiana 1919 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Juve Stabia Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 04 Juve Stab… vs Brescia 0-0
May 01 Juve Stab… vs Catanzaro 2-0
Apr 27 Juve Stab… vs Sudtirol 2-0
Apr 13 Juve Stab… vs Cremonese 1-1
Apr 05 Juve Stab… vs Salernita… 1-0
Mar 30 Juve Stab… vs Cosenza 1-2
Mar 15 Juve Stab… vs Monza 2-1
Mar 08 Juve Stab… vs Mantova 1-1
Mar 01 Juve Stab… vs Cittadella 0-1
Feb 22 Juve Stab… vs Pisa 3-1
Reggiana 1919 Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 04 Reggiana … vs Spezia 2-1
May 01 Reggiana … vs Monza 2-3
Apr 25 Reggiana … vs Cittadella 2-1
Apr 12 Reggiana … vs Pisa 0-2
Apr 04 Reggiana … vs Cremonese 1-2
Mar 29 Reggiana … vs Sassuolo 5-1
Mar 16 Reggiana … vs Sampdoria 2-2
Mar 07 Reggiana … vs Cosenza 1-0
Mar 02 Reggiana … vs Catanzaro 1-1
Feb 22 Reggiana … vs Carrarese 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Reggiana 1919 in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 26, 2024 Reggiana 1919 2 - 1 Juve Stabia Pro League
Dec 26, 2024 Reggiana 1919 2 - 1 Juve Stabia Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Juve Stabia to win (55% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 55% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Juve Stabia Power 35
Reggiana 1919 Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Juve Stabia Position

+8

Position Gap

15

Reggiana 1919 Position

Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.