AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A May 11, 2024

Napoli

Home
VS
16:00

Bologna

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Napoli Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Bologna Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 1.35
Key Insights
Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Napoli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Bologna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (26%) 0-0 (19%) 0-2 (18%) 0-3 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Under 2.5 Goals 77%
Napoli Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 06 Napoli vs Udinese 1-1
May 06 Napoli vs Udinese 1-1
Apr 28 Napoli vs AS Roma 2-2
Apr 28 Napoli vs AS Roma 2-2
Apr 20 Napoli vs Empoli 1-0
Apr 14 Napoli vs Frosinone 2-2
Apr 07 Napoli vs Monza 2-4
Mar 30 Napoli vs Atalanta 0-3
Mar 30 Napoli vs Atalanta 0-3
Mar 17 Napoli vs Inter 1-1
Bologna Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 Bologna vs Torino 0-0
May 03 Bologna vs Torino 0-0
Apr 28 Bologna vs Udinese 1-1
Apr 28 Bologna vs Udinese 1-1
Apr 22 Bologna vs AS Roma 1-3
Apr 13 Bologna vs Monza 0-0
Apr 07 Bologna vs Frosinone 0-0
Apr 01 Bologna vs Salernita… 3-0
Mar 15 Bologna vs Empoli 0-1
Mar 09 Bologna vs Inter 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 24, 2023 Bologna 0 - 0 Napoli Serie A
May 28, 2023 Bologna 2 - 2 Napoli Serie A
Oct 16, 2022 Napoli 3 - 2 Bologna Serie A
Jan 17, 2022 Bologna 0 - 2 Napoli Serie A
Oct 28, 2021 Napoli 3 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Final Verdict

PRO: Napoli to win (71% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 71% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Napoli Power 40
Bologna Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Napoli Position

+7

Position Gap

10

Bologna Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.