AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A May 09, 2025

AC Milan

Home
VS
18:45

Bologna

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
AC Milan Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Bologna Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 47%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.73 - 1.05
Key Insights
Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AC Milan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Bologna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (18%) 0-0 (17%) 1-1 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 0-2 (9%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
AC Milan Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
May 05 AC Milan vs Genoa 1-2
Apr 27 AC Milan vs Venezia 0-2
Apr 23 AC Milan vs Inter 0-3
Apr 20 AC Milan vs Atalanta 0-1
Apr 11 AC Milan vs Udinese 0-4
Apr 05 AC Milan vs Fiorentina 2-2
Apr 02 AC Milan vs Inter 1-1
Mar 30 AC Milan vs Napoli 2-1
Mar 15 AC Milan vs Como 2-1
Mar 08 AC Milan vs Lecce 2-3
Bologna Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 04 Bologna vs Juventus 1-1
Apr 28 Bologna vs Udinese 0-0
Apr 24 Bologna vs Empoli 2-1
Apr 20 Bologna vs Inter 1-0
Apr 13 Bologna vs Atalanta 2-0
Apr 07 Bologna vs Napoli 1-1
Apr 01 Bologna vs Empoli 0-3
Mar 29 Bologna vs Venezia 0-1
Mar 16 Bologna vs Lazio 5-0
Mar 09 Bologna vs Verona 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • AC Milan in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 27, 2025 Bologna 2 - 1 AC Milan Serie A
Jan 27, 2024 AC Milan 2 - 2 Bologna Pro League
Jan 27, 2024 AC Milan 2 - 2 Bologna Serie A
Aug 21, 2023 Bologna 0 - 2 AC Milan Serie A
Apr 15, 2023 Bologna 1 - 1 AC Milan Serie A
Aug 27, 2022 AC Milan 2 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Apr 04, 2022 AC Milan 0 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Oct 23, 2021 Bologna 2 - 4 AC Milan Serie A
Final Verdict

PRO: AC Milan to win (73% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 73% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AC Milan Power 45
Bologna Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

AC Milan Position

+8

Position Gap

10

Bologna Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.