AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
3. Liga May 03, 2025

Arminia Bielefeld

Home
VS
14:30

Dynamo Dresden

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Arminia Bielefeld Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Dynamo Dresden Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 1.45 - 0.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.7
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Arminia Bielefeld Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Dynamo Dresden Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Arminia Bielefeld Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 Arminia B… vs FC Ingols… 0-3
Apr 01 Arminia B… vs Bayer Lev… 2-1
Feb 25 Arminia B… vs Werder Br… 2-1
Dec 08 Arminia B… vs Dynamo Dr… 3-0
Dec 03 Arminia B… vs SC Freibu… 3-1
Oct 30 Arminia B… vs Union Ber… 2-0
Aug 17 Arminia B… vs Hannover … 2-0
May 18 Arminia B… vs TSV 1860 … 0-2
May 11 Arminia B… vs Hallesche… 0-0
May 04 Arminia B… vs Erzgebirg… 1-0
Dynamo Dresden Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 26 Dynamo Dr… vs SV Sandha… 2-1
Apr 20 Dynamo Dr… vs FC Saarbr… 1-4
Dec 08 Dynamo Dr… vs Arminia B… 3-0
Oct 30 Dynamo Dr… vs SV Darmst… 2-3
Aug 18 Dynamo Dr… vs Fortuna D… 2-0
May 18 Dynamo Dr… vs MSV Duisb… 4-0
May 11 Dynamo Dr… vs SpVgg Unt… 1-2
May 04 Dynamo Dr… vs Verl 0-1
Apr 27 Dynamo Dr… vs Jahn Rege… 1-1
Apr 20 Dynamo Dr… vs FC Viktor… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Arminia Bielefeld in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Dynamo Dresden in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 08, 2024 Dynamo Dresden 3 - 0 Arminia Bielefeld 3. Liga
Dec 20, 2023 Arminia Bielefeld 0 - 1 Dynamo Dresden 3. Liga
Aug 05, 2023 Dynamo Dresden 3 - 1 Arminia Bielefeld 3. Liga
Jun 15, 2020 Arminia Bielefeld 4 - 0 Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Arminia Bielefeld to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Arminia Bielefeld Power 46
Dynamo Dresden Power 46
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.