AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga May 04, 2024

VfB Stuttgart

Home
VS
13:30

Bayern Munich

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
VfB Stuttgart Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Bayern Munich Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 4.22 - 1.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 1.8
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
VfB Stuttgart Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Bayern Munich Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 2-2 (3%) 3-0 (3%) 3-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
VfB Stuttgart Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 VfB Stutt… vs Bayer Lev… 2-2
Apr 27 VfB Stutt… vs Bayer Lev… 2-2
Apr 21 VfB Stutt… vs Werder Br… 2-1
Apr 21 VfB Stutt… vs Werder Br… 2-1
Apr 13 VfB Stutt… vs Eintracht… 3-0
Apr 13 VfB Stutt… vs Eintracht… 3-0
Apr 06 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 0-1
Apr 06 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 0-1
Mar 31 VfB Stutt… vs 1899 Hoff… 3-3
Mar 16 VfB Stutt… vs 1899 Hoff… 0-3
Bayern Munich Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 30 Bayern Mu… vs Real Madr… 2-2
Apr 27 Bayern Mu… vs Eintracht… 2-1
Apr 27 Bayern Mu… vs Eintracht… 2-1
Apr 20 Bayern Mu… vs Union Ber… 1-5
Apr 20 Bayern Mu… vs Union Ber… 1-5
Apr 17 Bayern Mu… vs Arsenal 1-0
Apr 13 Bayern Mu… vs FC Koln 2-0
Apr 13 Bayern Mu… vs FC Koln 2-0
Apr 09 Bayern Mu… vs Arsenal 2-2
Apr 06 Bayern Mu… vs 1899 Hoff… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bayern Munich in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 17, 2023 Bayern Munich 3 - 0 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Dec 17, 2023 Bayern Munich 3 - 0 VfB Stuttgart Pro League
Mar 04, 2023 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 2 Bayern Munich Bundesliga
Sep 10, 2022 Bayern Munich 2 - 2 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
May 08, 2022 Bayern Munich 2 - 2 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2021 VfB Stuttgart 0 - 5 Bayern Munich Bundesliga
Mar 20, 2021 Bayern Munich 4 - 0 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bayern Munich to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-2 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_15+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
VfB Stuttgart Power 46
Bayern Munich Power 70
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

VfB Stuttgart Position

-3

Position Gap

1

Bayern Munich Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 80%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.