AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super Cup Jan 12, 2025

Real Madrid

Home
VS
19:00

FC Barcelona

Away
AI Predictions 67.0% Confidence
Real Madrid Win
67.0%
Draw
20.6%
FC Barcelona Win
12.4%
Home Win (67% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 12%
xG: 4.48 - 2.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 2.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Madrid Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
FC Barcelona Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (4%) 3-1 (4%) 3-3 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 2-3 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Real Madrid Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 09 Real Madr… vs Mallorca 3-0
Jan 03 Real Madr… vs Valencia 1-2
Dec 22 Real Madr… vs Sevilla FC 4-2
Dec 22 Real Madr… vs Sevilla FC 4-2
Dec 21 Real Madr… vs FC Barcel… 1-2
Dec 15 Real Madr… vs Getafe 1-0
Dec 14 Real Madr… vs Valencia 3-3
Dec 14 Real Madr… vs Rayo Vall… 3-3
Dec 08 Real Madr… vs Sevilla FC 4-3
Dec 07 Real Madr… vs Girona 0-3
FC Barcelona Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 08 FC Barcel… vs Athletic … 0-2
Dec 21 FC Barcel… vs Atlético … 1-2
Dec 21 FC Barcel… vs Real Madr… 1-2
Dec 15 FC Barcel… vs Levante 0-1
Dec 07 FC Barcel… vs Real Betis 2-2
Dec 07 FC Barcel… vs Real Betis 2-2
Dec 03 FC Barcel… vs Mallorca 1-5
Dec 01 FC Barcel… vs Mushuc Ru… 2-2
Nov 30 FC Barcel… vs Las Palmas 1-2
Nov 23 FC Barcel… vs Tecnico U… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Madrid in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • FC Barcelona struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 21, 2024 FC Barcelona 1 - 2 Real Madrid Pro League
Oct 26, 2024 Real Madrid 0 - 4 FC Barcelona Pro League
Apr 21, 2024 Real Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona Pro League
Mar 17, 2024 Real Madrid 0 - 3 FC Barcelona Pro League
Jan 14, 2024 Real Madrid 4 - 1 FC Barcelona Super Cup
Dec 03, 2023 FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Real Madrid Pro League
Final Verdict

MASTER: Real Madrid to win (75% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 2-0 75% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 49 vs 0
Real Madrid Power 49
FC Barcelona Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.