AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa del Rey Apr 26, 2025

FC Barcelona

Home
VS
20:00

Real Madrid

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
FC Barcelona Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Real Madrid Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.36 - 0.81
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.8
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Barcelona Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Real Madrid Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
FC Barcelona Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 19 FC Barcel… vs El Nacion… 1-0
Apr 19 FC Barcel… vs Celta de … 4-3
Apr 19 FC Barcel… vs Celta 4-3
Apr 15 FC Barcel… vs Borussia … 3-1
Apr 15 FC Barcel… vs Orense SC 3-1
Apr 12 FC Barcel… vs Levante 0-1
Apr 09 FC Barcel… vs Borussia … 4-0
Apr 05 FC Barcel… vs Real Betis 1-1
Apr 02 FC Barcel… vs Independi… 1-0
Apr 02 FC Barcel… vs Atlético … 0-1
Real Madrid Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 24 Real Madr… vs Valencia 3-0
Apr 23 Real Madr… vs Getafe 0-1
Apr 20 Real Madr… vs Athletic … 1-0
Apr 20 Real Madr… vs Ath Bilbao 1-0
Apr 19 Real Madr… vs Las Palmas 1-0
Apr 16 Real Madr… vs Arsenal 1-2
Apr 14 Real Madr… vs Valladolid 4-2
Apr 13 Real Madr… vs Alavés 0-1
Apr 08 Real Madr… vs Arsenal 3-0
Apr 06 Real Madr… vs Sevilla FC 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Barcelona in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Real Madrid in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 16, 2025 Real Madrid 2 - 4 FC Barcelona La Liga
Jan 12, 2025 Real Madrid 2 - 5 FC Barcelona Super Cup
Dec 21, 2024 FC Barcelona 1 - 2 Real Madrid Pro League
Oct 26, 2024 Real Madrid 0 - 4 FC Barcelona Pro League
Apr 21, 2024 Real Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona Pro League
Mar 17, 2024 Real Madrid 0 - 3 FC Barcelona Pro League
Jan 14, 2024 Real Madrid 4 - 1 FC Barcelona Super Cup
Dec 03, 2023 FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Real Madrid Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Madrid to win (55% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-2 55% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Barcelona Power 0
Real Madrid Power 49
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.