AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga May 18, 2024

Alavés

Home
VS
19:00

Getafe

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Alavés Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Getafe Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.85 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.3 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alavés Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Getafe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (20%) 3-0 (12%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Alavés Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 14 Alavés vs Real Madr… 5-0
May 14 Alavés vs Real Madr… 5-0
May 10 Alavés vs Girona 2-2
May 10 Alavés vs Girona 2-2
May 05 Alavés vs Valencia 0-1
May 05 Alavés vs Valencia 0-1
Apr 27 Alavés vs Celta 3-0
Apr 27 Alavés vs Celta de … 3-0
Apr 21 Alavés vs Real Madr… 2-0
Apr 21 Alavés vs Atlético … 2-0
Getafe Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
May 15 Getafe vs Real Madr… 0-3
May 15 Getafe vs Atlético … 0-3
May 12 Getafe vs Cadiz 1-0
May 12 Getafe vs Cadiz 1-0
May 03 Getafe vs Ath Bilbao 0-2
May 03 Getafe vs Athletic … 0-2
Apr 27 Getafe vs AlmerĂ­a 1-3
Apr 21 Getafe vs Real Soci… 1-1
Apr 21 Getafe vs Real Soci… 1-1
Apr 13 Getafe vs Valencia 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Getafe struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

PRO: Alavés to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alavés Power 32
Getafe Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Alavés Position

+7

Position Gap

17

Getafe Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.