La Liga · May 18, 2025 17:00

Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
4 - 1
FT

Real Betis
PWR 39
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
Atlético Madrid Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 3-2 (4%) 1-0 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WON - Actual: 4-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 6 rules · 84%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy76%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGFORM_MISMATCH
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (6 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack52
Defense77
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Attack49
Defense62
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.3
Atlético Madrid Form LWDLL
STABLE
Real Betis Form DDDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS61%
Under 2.532%
Atlético Ma… Goals
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
Real Betis Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.59
Atlético Madrid
vs
1.00
Real Betis
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings75%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Atlético Ma…
+2
Gap
#5
Real Betis
WR 91% 45 pts WR 18% 35 pts
Atlético Madrid 6.0%
May 15 Atlétic… v Osasuna 2-0
May 10 Atlétic… v Real So… 4-0
May 03 Atlétic… v Alavés 0-0
Apr 02 Atlétic… v FC Barc… 0-1
Mar 16 Atlétic… v FC Barc… 2-4
Mar 12 Atlétic… v Real Ma… 1-0
Mar 04 Atlétic… v Real Ma… 2-1
Mar 01 Atlétic… v Athleti… 1-0
Feb 25 Atlétic… v FC Barc… 4-4
Feb 22 Atlétic… v Valencia 0-3
Real Betis 10.0%
May 15 Real Be… v Valencia 2-2
May 15 Real Be… v Rayo Va… 2-2
May 11 Real Be… v Osasuna 1-1
May 11 Real Be… v Barcelo… 0-9
May 04 Real Be… v Espanyol 1-2
May 03 Real Be… v Granadi… 2-0
Apr 27 Real Be… v Sevilla… 1-1
Apr 24 Real Be… v Vallado… 5-1
Apr 21 Real Be… v Girona 1-3
Apr 20 Real Be… v Real Ma… 5-1
Head-to-Head (8)
Oct 27, 2024 Real Betis 1-0 Atlético Madr…
Mar 03, 2024 Atlético Madr… 2-1 Real Betis
Aug 20, 2023 Real Betis 0-0 Atlético Madr…
Apr 02, 2023 Atlético Madr… 1-0 Real Betis
Oct 23, 2022 Real Betis 1-2 Atlético Madr…
Mar 06, 2022 Real Betis 1-3 Atlético Madr…
Oct 31, 2021 Atlético Madr… 3-0 Real Betis
Apr 11, 2021 Real Betis 1-1 Atlético Madr…
Key Factors
Atlético Madrid struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.