AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga May 18, 2025

Valencia

Home
VS
17:00

Athletic Club

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Valencia Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Athletic Club Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.76 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Valencia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Athletic Club Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 2-0 (22%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Valencia Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 15 Valencia vs Real Betis 2-2
May 14 Valencia vs Alavés 1-0
May 11 Valencia vs Levante L… 1-1
May 10 Valencia vs Getafe 3-0
May 09 Valencia vs Las Palmas 0-1
May 03 Valencia vs Las Palmas 2-3
May 03 Valencia vs Eibar Wom… 2-0
May 02 Valencia vs Getafe 1-0
Apr 27 Valencia vs Real Soci… 0-2
Apr 24 Valencia vs Real Madr… 3-0
Athletic Club Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 15 Athletic … vs Getafe 0-2
May 11 Athletic … vs Alavés 1-0
May 08 Athletic … vs Mancheste… 4-1
May 04 Athletic … vs Real Soci… 0-0
May 01 Athletic … vs Mancheste… 0-3
Apr 20 Athletic … vs Real Madr… 1-0
Apr 17 Athletic … vs Rangers FC 2-0
Apr 10 Athletic … vs Rangers FC 0-0
Mar 30 Athletic … vs Osasuna 0-0
Mar 16 Athletic … vs Sevilla FC 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 28, 2024 Athletic Club 1 - 0 Valencia La Liga
Jan 20, 2024 Valencia 1 - 0 Athletic Club La Liga
Oct 29, 2023 Athletic Club 2 - 2 Valencia La Liga
Feb 11, 2023 Valencia 1 - 2 Athletic Club La Liga
Jan 26, 2023 Valencia 1 - 3 Athletic Club Copa del Rey
Aug 21, 2022 Athletic Club 1 - 0 Valencia La Liga
May 07, 2022 Athletic Club 0 - 0 Valencia La Liga
Mar 02, 2022 Valencia 1 - 0 Athletic Club Copa del Rey
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Valencia Power 29
Athletic Club Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Valencia Position

-5

Position Gap

11

Athletic Club Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.