AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Apr 26, 2025

AFC Wimbledon

Home
VS
11:30

Port Vale

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
AFC Wimbledon Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Port Vale Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.54 - 0.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.7
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AFC Wimbledon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Port Vale Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
AFC Wimbledon Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 AFC Wimbl… vs Birmingham 1-0
Apr 21 AFC Wimbl… vs Birmingham 1-0
Apr 18 AFC Wimbl… vs Chesterfi… 0-0
Apr 18 AFC Wimbl… vs Chesterfi… 0-0
Apr 12 AFC Wimbl… vs Doncaster 1-1
Apr 12 AFC Wimbl… vs Doncaster 1-1
Apr 05 AFC Wimbl… vs Harrogate 1-0
Apr 01 AFC Wimbl… vs Swindon 2-1
Mar 29 AFC Wimbl… vs Walsall 1-1
Mar 22 AFC Wimbl… vs Barrow 2-2
Port Vale Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 Port Vale vs Grimsby 2-2
Apr 21 Port Vale vs Grimsby 2-2
Apr 18 Port Vale vs Carlisle 3-2
Apr 18 Port Vale vs Carlisle 3-2
Apr 12 Port Vale vs Burnley 5-0
Apr 05 Port Vale vs Walsall 2-3
Apr 01 Port Vale vs Brentford 2-0
Apr 01 Port Vale vs Brentford 2-0
Mar 29 Port Vale vs Crewe 0-1
Mar 25 Port Vale vs Barrow 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 26, 2024 Port Vale 3 - 2 AFC Wimbledon Pro League
Oct 26, 2024 Port Vale 3 - 2 AFC Wimbledon League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AFC Wimbledon to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AFC Wimbledon Power 32
Port Vale Power 28
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.