AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Capixaba B Oct 11, 2025

Fortaleza

Home
VS
19:30

Serra Talhada

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Fortaleza Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Serra Talhada Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.76 - 0.92
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.9
Score Prediction Analysis
Fortaleza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Serra Talhada Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Fortaleza Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Fortaleza vs Juventude 1-2
Oct 04 Fortaleza vs Estrela d… 0-1
Oct 02 Fortaleza vs São Paulo… 0-2
Sep 28 Fortaleza vs Estrela d… 2-1
Sep 27 Fortaleza vs Sport Rec… 1-0
Sep 23 Fortaleza vs Juventude 5-0
Sep 21 Fortaleza vs Palmeiras 4-1
Sep 20 Fortaleza vs Linhares 0-0
Sep 17 Fortaleza vs RB Bragan… 2-0
Sep 14 Fortaleza vs GEL 7-0
Serra Talhada Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Serra Tal… vs Linhares 0-0
Sep 12 Serra Tal… vs Linhares 2-1
Sep 05 Serra Tal… vs GEL 1-9
Aug 29 Serra Tal… vs Estrela d… 1-2
Aug 15 Serra Tal… vs Pinheiros 4-0
Aug 09 Serra Tal… vs Desportiv… 5-0
Jul 15 Serra Tal… vs Porto Vit… 3-0
Jul 08 Serra Tal… vs Porto Vit… 1-2
Jun 25 Serra Tal… vs Real Noro… 3-4
Jun 04 Serra Tal… vs Porto Vit… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fortaleza in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Serra Talhada in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Fortaleza to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fortaleza Power 0
Serra Talhada Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.