Eredivisie · Nov 02, 2025 15:45

Utrecht
PWR 35

NEC Nijmegen
PWR 35

Utrecht
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

NEC Nijmegen
PWR 35
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
1-2 (6%)
2-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Utrecht Form
LLWLL
DOWN
NEC Nijmegen Form
DDDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS68%
Under 2.532%
Utrecht Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
NEC Nijmegen Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Utrechtvs
1.48
NEC NijmegenDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Utrecht-11
Gap#2
NEC Nijmegen
WR 50% 24 pts
WR 46% 41 pts
Utrecht
4.0%
| Oct 26 | Utrecht v AZ Alkm… | 4-1 |
| Oct 23 | Utrecht v SC Frei… | 2-0 |
| Oct 18 | Utrecht v FC Vole… | 3-1 |
| Oct 05 | Utrecht v Feyenoo… | 3-2 |
| Oct 02 | Utrecht v Brann | 1-0 |
| Sep 28 | Utrecht v Heerenv… | 2-2 |
| Sep 25 | Utrecht v Lyon | 0-1 |
| Sep 20 | Utrecht v Fortuna… | 1-0 |
| Sep 14 | Utrecht v Groning… | 0-1 |
| Aug 31 | Utrecht v PEC Zwo… | 0-2 |
NEC Nijmegen
10.0%
| Oct 25 | NEC Nij… v PEC Zwo… | 2-2 |
| Oct 18 | NEC Nij… v FC Twen… | 3-3 |
| Oct 05 | NEC Nij… v GO Ahea… | 1-1 |
| Sep 28 | NEC Nij… v AZ Alkm… | 2-1 |
| Sep 21 | NEC Nij… v Heerenv… | 3-2 |
| Sep 13 | NEC Nij… v PSV Ein… | 3-5 |
| Aug 31 | NEC Nij… v Fortuna… | 3-2 |
| Aug 24 | NEC Nij… v NAC Bre… | 3-0 |
| Aug 16 | NEC Nij… v Heracles | 1-4 |
| Aug 09 | NEC Nij… v Excelsi… | 5-0 |
Key Factors
Utrecht struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.