Eredivisie · Nov 02, 2025 15:45

Utrecht
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

NEC Nijmegen
PWR 35
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 2-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Utrecht Form LLWLL
DOWN
NEC Nijmegen Form DDDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS68%
Under 2.532%
Utrecht Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
NEC Nijmegen Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Utrecht
vs
1.48
NEC Nijmegen
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Utrecht
-11
Gap
#2
NEC Nijmegen
WR 50% 24 pts WR 46% 41 pts
Utrecht 4.0%
Oct 26 Utrecht v AZ Alkm… 4-1
Oct 23 Utrecht v SC Frei… 2-0
Oct 18 Utrecht v FC Vole… 3-1
Oct 05 Utrecht v Feyenoo… 3-2
Oct 02 Utrecht v Brann 1-0
Sep 28 Utrecht v Heerenv… 2-2
Sep 25 Utrecht v Lyon 0-1
Sep 20 Utrecht v Fortuna… 1-0
Sep 14 Utrecht v Groning… 0-1
Aug 31 Utrecht v PEC Zwo… 0-2
NEC Nijmegen 10.0%
Oct 25 NEC Nij… v PEC Zwo… 2-2
Oct 18 NEC Nij… v FC Twen… 3-3
Oct 05 NEC Nij… v GO Ahea… 1-1
Sep 28 NEC Nij… v AZ Alkm… 2-1
Sep 21 NEC Nij… v Heerenv… 3-2
Sep 13 NEC Nij… v PSV Ein… 3-5
Aug 31 NEC Nij… v Fortuna… 3-2
Aug 24 NEC Nij… v NAC Bre… 3-0
Aug 16 NEC Nij… v Heracles 1-4
Aug 09 NEC Nij… v Excelsi… 5-0
Key Factors
Utrecht struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.