AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Oct 25, 2025

Udinese

Home
VS
13:00

Lecce

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Udinese Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Lecce Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.64 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.5 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Udinese Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Lecce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Udinese Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 20 Udinese vs Cremonese 1-1
Oct 05 Udinese vs Cagliari 1-1
Sep 28 Udinese vs Sassuolo 3-1
Sep 23 Udinese vs Palermo 2-1
Sep 20 Udinese vs AC Milan 0-3
Sep 14 Udinese vs Pisa 0-1
Aug 31 Udinese vs Inter 1-2
Aug 25 Udinese vs Verona 1-1
Aug 18 Udinese vs Carrarese 2-0
Aug 09 Udinese vs Werder Br… 0-1
Lecce Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 18 Lecce vs Sassuolo 0-0
Oct 04 Lecce vs Parma 0-1
Sep 28 Lecce vs Bologna 2-2
Sep 23 Lecce vs AC Milan 3-0
Sep 19 Lecce vs Cagliari 1-2
Sep 14 Lecce vs Atalanta 4-1
Aug 29 Lecce vs AC Milan 0-2
Aug 23 Lecce vs Genoa 0-0
Aug 15 Lecce vs Juve Stab… 2-0
May 25 Lecce vs Lazio 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 21, 2025 Lecce 0 - 1 Udinese Serie A
Oct 05, 2024 Udinese 1 - 0 Lecce Pro League
May 13, 2024 Lecce 0 - 2 Udinese Serie A
May 13, 2024 Lecce 0 - 2 Udinese Pro League
Final Verdict

PRO: Udinese to win (72% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 72% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Udinese Power 31
Lecce Power 27
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Udinese Position

+8

Position Gap

17

Lecce Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.