Copa Paulista · Jul 09, 2025 18:00

Monte Azul
PWR 48
1 - 0
FT

Oeste
PWR 40
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 11.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack32
Defense68
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G0.9
Attack24
Defense65
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.0
Monte Azul Form DWLDL
STABLE
Oeste Form LWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS18%
Under 2.543%
Monte Azul Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Oeste Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.43
Monte Azul
vs
0.20
Oeste
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Monte Azul
-7
Gap
#2
Oeste
WR 42% 18 pts WR 31% 41 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Monte Azul12534111118
Oeste3611817253641
Monte Azul 8.0%
Jun 25 Monte A… v Flumine… 0-0
Jun 18 Monte A… v AEA 1-0
Jun 14 Monte A… v Grêmio … 3-1
Apr 12 Monte A… v Sertãoz… 1-1
Apr 09 Monte A… v Sertãoz… 3-1
Mar 15 Monte A… v EC Leme… 4-2
Mar 09 Monte A… v XV de J… 2-2
Mar 05 Monte A… v Sertãoz… 1-1
Oct 12 Monte A… v Votupor… 1-0
Oct 05 Monte A… v Votupor… 1-0
Oeste 6.0%
Jul 06 Oeste v São Jos… 2-0
Jul 05 Oeste v Flumine… 1-0
Jun 30 Oeste v Taubaté 0-0
Jun 27 Oeste v AEA 2-0
Jun 22 Oeste v Portugu… 2-0
Jun 21 Oeste v Grêmio … 0-0
Jun 16 Oeste v São Cae… 1-0
Mar 08 Oeste v São Jos… 1-0
Feb 23 Oeste v Portugu… 1-1
Feb 22 Oeste v Linense 1-0
Key Factors
Oeste struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.