Copa Paulista · Jul 09, 2025 18:00

Monte Azul
PWR 48

Oeste
PWR 40

Monte Azul
PWR 48
1 - 0
FT

Oeste
PWR 40
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (18%)
2-0 (16%)
1-0 (9%)
3-1 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
0-0 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 11.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack32
Defense68
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G0.9
Attack24
Defense65
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.0
Monte Azul Form
DWLDL
STABLE
Oeste Form
LWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS18%
Under 2.543%
Monte Azul Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Oeste Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.43
Monte Azulvs
0.20
OesteDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Monte Azul-7
Gap#2
Oeste
WR 42% 18 pts
WR 31% 41 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monte Azul | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 18 |
| Oeste | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 36 | 41 |
Monte Azul
8.0%
| Jun 25 | Monte A… v Flumine… | 0-0 |
| Jun 18 | Monte A… v AEA | 1-0 |
| Jun 14 | Monte A… v Grêmio … | 3-1 |
| Apr 12 | Monte A… v Sertãoz… | 1-1 |
| Apr 09 | Monte A… v Sertãoz… | 3-1 |
| Mar 15 | Monte A… v EC Leme… | 4-2 |
| Mar 09 | Monte A… v XV de J… | 2-2 |
| Mar 05 | Monte A… v Sertãoz… | 1-1 |
| Oct 12 | Monte A… v Votupor… | 1-0 |
| Oct 05 | Monte A… v Votupor… | 1-0 |
Oeste
6.0%
| Jul 06 | Oeste v São Jos… | 2-0 |
| Jul 05 | Oeste v Flumine… | 1-0 |
| Jun 30 | Oeste v Taubaté | 0-0 |
| Jun 27 | Oeste v AEA | 2-0 |
| Jun 22 | Oeste v Portugu… | 2-0 |
| Jun 21 | Oeste v Grêmio … | 0-0 |
| Jun 16 | Oeste v São Cae… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Oeste v São Jos… | 1-0 |
| Feb 23 | Oeste v Portugu… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Oeste v Linense | 1-0 |
Key Factors
Oeste struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.