Copa Paulista · Jul 16, 2025 18:00
Monte Azul
PWR 48
Monte Azul
PWR 48
1 - 1
FT
Grêmio Prudente
PWR 52
PWR 52
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (26%)
1-0 (24%)
2-0 (11%)
0-1 (11%)
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 1.7% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack32
Defense68
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G0.9
Attack49
Defense65
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.0
Monte Azul Form
WDWLD
STABLE
Grêmio Prudente Form
DWDWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.515%
BTTS21%
Under 2.585%
Monte Azul Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Grêmio Prud… Goals
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Monte Azulvs
0.42
Grêmio PrudenteDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Monte Azul-5
Gap#4
Grêmio Prud…
WR 42% 18 pts
WR 40% 33 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monte Azul | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 18 |
| Grêmio Prudente | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 33 |
Monte Azul
12.0%
| Jul 09 | Monte A… v Oeste | 1-0 |
| Jun 25 | Monte A… v Flumine… | 0-0 |
| Jun 18 | Monte A… v AEA | 1-0 |
| Jun 14 | Monte A… v Grêmio … | 3-1 |
| Apr 12 | Monte A… v Sertãoz… | 1-1 |
| Apr 09 | Monte A… v Sertãoz… | 3-1 |
| Mar 15 | Monte A… v EC Leme… | 4-2 |
| Mar 09 | Monte A… v XV de J… | 2-2 |
| Mar 05 | Monte A… v Sertãoz… | 1-1 |
| Oct 12 | Monte A… v Votupor… | 1-0 |
Grêmio Prudente
14.0%
| Jul 12 | Grêmio … v Flumine… | 1-1 |
| Jul 05 | Grêmio … v AEA | 2-1 |
| Jun 21 | Grêmio … v Oeste | 0-0 |
| Jun 14 | Grêmio … v Monte A… | 3-1 |
| Feb 26 | Grêmio … v Rio Cla… | 0-0 |
| Feb 19 | Grêmio … v Juventu… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Grêmio … v Votupor… | 2-2 |
| Feb 02 | Grêmio … v Oeste | 0-3 |
| Jan 25 | Grêmio … v XV de P… | 1-0 |
| Jan 22 | Grêmio … v São Ben… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jun 14, 2025 | Grêmio Pruden… | 3-1 | Monte Azul |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.