AI Match Insights
Premiership Sep 27, 2025
Motherwell
HomeVS
16:45
Aberdeen
AwayAI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Motherwell Win
Draw
Aberdeen Win
Home Win
(61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
65%
Market
50%
Combined: 63%
Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 3.83 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Motherwell Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Aberdeen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%)
2-0 (10%)
3-1 (6%)
1-0 (5%)
2-1 (5%)
1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
Motherwell Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | Motherwell vs Aberdeen | 0-1 |
| Sep 13 | Motherwell vs Dundee | 1-1 |
| Aug 30 | Motherwell vs Kilmarnock | 2-2 |
| Aug 23 | Motherwell vs Heart of … | 3-3 |
| Aug 16 | Motherwell vs ST Johnst… | 0-1 |
| Aug 09 | Motherwell vs St. Mirren | 0-0 |
| Aug 02 | Motherwell vs Rangers FC | 1-1 |
| Jul 22 | Motherwell vs Morton | 3-0 |
| Jul 19 | Motherwell vs Stenhouse… | 0-1 |
| Jul 15 | Motherwell vs Peterhead | 2-1 |
Aberdeen Form 2.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd | 2-0 |
| Sep 20 | Aberdeen vs Motherwell | 0-1 |
| Sep 13 | Aberdeen vs Livingston | 0-0 |
| Aug 31 | Aberdeen vs Falkirk | 0-1 |
| Aug 28 | Aberdeen vs FCSB | 3-0 |
| Aug 21 | Aberdeen vs FCSB | 2-2 |
| Aug 16 | Aberdeen vs Morton | 0-3 |
| Aug 10 | Aberdeen vs Celtic | 0-2 |
| Aug 04 | Aberdeen vs Heart of … | 2-0 |
| May 24 | Aberdeen vs Celtic | 1-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Aberdeen struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Aberdeen | 0 - 1 | Motherwell | League Cup |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Aberdeen | 4 - 1 | Motherwell | Premiership |
| Jan 05, 2025 | Motherwell | 2 - 0 | Aberdeen | Premiership |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Aberdeen | 2 - 1 | Motherwell | Premiership |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Aberdeen | 1 - 0 | Motherwell | Premiership |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Motherwell | 0 - 1 | Aberdeen | Premiership |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Aberdeen | 3 - 3 | Motherwell | Premiership |
| Nov 01, 2023 | Motherwell | 2 - 4 | Aberdeen | Premiership |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Motherwell Power
0
Aberdeen Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
4
Motherwell Position+3
Position Gap7
Aberdeen Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.