AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier League - Summer Series Aug 03, 2025

Manchester United

Home
VS
21:00

Everton

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Manchester United Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Everton Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.60 - 0.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.6
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Manchester United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Everton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Manchester United Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 31 Manchesteā€¦ vs Bournemouā€¦ 4-1
Jul 26 Manchesteā€¦ vs West Brom 2-1
Jul 19 Manchesteā€¦ vs Leeds 0-0
May 25 Manchesteā€¦ vs Aston Vilā€¦ 2-0
May 21 Manchesteā€¦ vs Tottenham 1-0
May 16 Manchesteā€¦ vs Chelsea 1-0
May 11 Manchesteā€¦ vs West Brom 0-2
May 08 Manchesteā€¦ vs Athletic ā€¦ 4-1
May 04 Manchesteā€¦ vs Brentford 4-3
May 01 Manchesteā€¦ vs Athletic ā€¦ 0-3
Everton Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 30 Everton vs West Brom 2-1
Jul 26 Everton vs Bournemouā€¦ 0-3
May 25 Everton vs Newcastleā€¦ 0-1
May 18 Everton vs Southamptā€¦ 2-0
May 10 Everton vs Fulham 1-3
May 03 Everton vs Ipswich 2-2
Apr 26 Everton vs Chelsea 1-0
Apr 19 Everton vs Manchesteā€¦ 0-2
Apr 12 Everton vs Nottinghaā€¦ 0-1
Apr 05 Everton vs Arsenal 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Manchester United in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Everton in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 22, 2025 Everton 2 - 2 Manchester United Premier League
Dec 01, 2024 Manchester United 4 - 0 Everton Pro League
Mar 09, 2024 Manchester United 2 - 0 Everton Pro League
Nov 26, 2023 Everton 0 - 3 Manchester United Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Manchester United to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Manchester United Power 39
Everton Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.