Predictions Match Details
League Two · Aug 16, 2025 14:00

Milton Keynes Dons
PWR 44
5 - 0
FT

Chelsea
PWR 42
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Milton Keynes Dons to win (85% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
85%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (61%) 1-0 (18%) 0-1 (12%) 1-1 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 0-2 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 5-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 50%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 6% = high draw riskElevated draw risk (28.2%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack58
Defense68
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.1
Attack53
Defense66
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.1
Milton Keynes … Form LWDDD
STABLE
Chelsea Form WWLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.51%
BTTS5%
Under 2.599%
Milton Keyn… Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Chelsea Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Milton Keynes …
vs
0.20
Chelsea
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Milton Keyn…
+10
Gap
#19
Chelsea
WR 44% 113 pts WR 38% 62 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Milton Keynes D…7232172311696113
Chelsea4718821576962
Milton Keynes … 10.0%
Aug 12 Milton … v Bristol… 2-0
Aug 09 Milton … v Barrow 0-2
Aug 02 Milton … v Oldham 0-0
May 03 Milton … v Swindon 0-0
May 03 Milton … v Swindon 0-0
Apr 26 Milton … v Grimsby 0-0
Apr 26 Milton … v Grimsby 0-0
Apr 21 Milton … v Crewe 0-1
Apr 21 Milton … v Crewe 0-1
Apr 18 Milton … v Newport… 0-0
Chelsea 12.0%
Aug 13 Chelsea v Exeter … 2-0
Aug 10 Chelsea v AC Milan 4-1
Aug 09 Chelsea v Chester… 0-2
Aug 08 Chelsea v Bayer L… 2-0
Aug 02 Chelsea v Cambrid… 1-0
May 25 Chelsea v Notting… 0-1
May 16 Chelsea v Manches… 1-0
May 11 Chelsea v Newcast… 2-0
May 04 Chelsea v Liverpo… 3-1
May 03 Chelsea v Burnley 3-0
Head-to-Head (9)
Mar 22, 2025 Chelsea 0-1 Milton Keynes…
Mar 22, 2025 Chelsea 0-1 Milton Keynes…
Nov 16, 2024 Milton Keynes… 3-2 Chelsea
Nov 16, 2024 Milton Keynes… 3-2 Chelsea
Apr 15, 2023 Milton Keynes… 2-2 Chelsea
Oct 29, 2022 Chelsea 0-0 Milton Keynes…
Aug 30, 2022 Milton Keynes… 1-2 Chelsea
Mar 08, 2022 Milton Keynes… 3-1 Chelsea
Sep 04, 2021 Chelsea 1-1 Milton Keynes…
Key Factors
Chelsea in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.