AI Match Insights
League One Aug 19, 2025
Bolton
HomeVS
18:45
Wigan
AwayAI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Bolton Win
Draw
Wigan Win
Home Win
(41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
95%
Market
50%
Combined: 59%
Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.71 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.4
Position gap: 17 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bolton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Wigan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%)
3-0 (15%)
1-0 (12%)
2-1 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
Bolton Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16 | Bolton vs Aldershot… | 2-3 |
| Aug 16 | Bolton vs Barnsley | 1-1 |
| Aug 13 | Bolton vs Sheffield… | 3-3 |
| Aug 12 | Bolton vs Leeds Uni… | 4-0 |
| Aug 12 | Bolton vs Coventry | 1-0 |
| Aug 09 | Bolton vs Middlesbr… | 2-1 |
| Aug 09 | Bolton vs Plymouth | 2-0 |
| Aug 09 | Bolton vs Peterboro… | 0-2 |
| Aug 03 | Bolton vs Stockport | 2-0 |
| Aug 01 | Bolton vs AFC Wimbl… | 1-0 |
Wigan Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16 | Wigan vs Peterboro… | 2-0 |
| Aug 12 | Wigan vs Newport C… | 1-0 |
| Aug 09 | Wigan vs Leyton Or… | 2-0 |
| Aug 02 | Wigan vs Northampt… | 3-1 |
| May 03 | Wigan vs Northampt… | 1-1 |
| Apr 29 | Wigan vs Bolton | 1-1 |
| Apr 29 | Wigan vs Brighton | 1-1 |
| Apr 26 | Wigan vs Blackpool | 1-1 |
| Apr 21 | Wigan vs Rotherham… | 1-0 |
| Apr 18 | Wigan vs Shrewsbury | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Wigan in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2025 | Bolton | 1 - 1 | Wigan | League One |
| Apr 01, 2025 | Wigan | 0 - 1 | Bolton | League One |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Wigan | 1 - 2 | Bolton | League One |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Bolton | 0 - 2 | Wigan | Pro League |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Bolton | 0 - 2 | Wigan | League One |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Wigan | 1 - 1 | Bolton | Pro League |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Wigan | 1 - 0 | Bolton | Pro League |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Wigan | 1 - 0 | Bolton | League One |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Bolton | 0 - 4 | Wigan | League One |
| Jul 09, 2022 | Bolton | 0 - 1 | Wigan | Friendlies Clu… |
Final Verdict
ELITE: Bolton to win (93% confidence)
ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0
93% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 17
Bolton Power
39
Wigan Power
33
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Bolton Position+17
Position Gap20
Wigan Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.