AI Match Insights

Carioca U20 Aug 23, 2025

Botafogo U20

Home
VS
13:00

Vasco da Gama U20

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Botafogo U20 Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Vasco da Gama U20 Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 4.50 - 0.68
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Botafogo U20 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Vasco da Gama U20 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Botafogo U20 Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Botafogo … vs Fluminens… 1-0
Aug 09 Botafogo … vs Nova Igua… 1-0
Aug 02 Botafogo … vs Bangu U20 1-0
Jul 23 Botafogo … vs Cruzeiro … 2-1
Jul 10 Botafogo … vs Flamengo … 2-2
Jun 01 Botafogo … vs Vasco da … 4-1
May 25 Botafogo … vs Vasco da … 0-0
May 17 Botafogo … vs Flamengo … 4-1
May 10 Botafogo … vs Flamengo … 0-2
May 03 Botafogo … vs Vasco da … 1-1
Vasco da Gama U20 Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Vasco da … vs Sampaio C… 4-1
Aug 08 Vasco da … vs Fluminens… 2-1
Aug 04 Vasco da … vs Nova Igua… 1-2
Jul 31 Vasco da … vs Athletico… 4-2
Jul 23 Vasco da … vs Grêmio U20 2-0
Jul 16 Vasco da … vs Juventude… 0-1
Jul 09 Vasco da … vs Cuiabá U20 0-1
Jun 17 Vasco da … vs Fluminens… 1-0
Jun 01 Vasco da … vs Botafogo … 4-1
May 25 Vasco da … vs Botafogo … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Vasco da Gama U20 in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 01, 2025 Botafogo U20 4 - 1 Vasco da Gama U20 Copa Rio U20
May 25, 2025 Vasco da Gama U20 0 - 0 Botafogo U20 Copa Rio U20
May 03, 2025 Vasco da Gama U20 1 - 1 Botafogo U20 Copa Rio U20
Apr 30, 2025 Botafogo U20 1 - 1 Vasco da Gama U20 CBF Brasileiro…
Jul 21, 2024 Botafogo U20 1 - 1 Vasco da Gama U20 Carioca U20
Apr 14, 2024 Vasco da Gama U20 2 - 1 Botafogo U20 Copa Rio U20
Apr 07, 2024 Botafogo U20 1 - 1 Vasco da Gama U20 Copa Rio U20
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Botafogo U20 to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Botafogo U20 Power 0
Vasco da Gama U20 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.