AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Aug 25, 2025

Sampdoria

Home
VS
18:30

Modena

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Sampdoria Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Modena Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.19 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sampdoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Modena Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (24%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
Sampdoria Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 18 Sampdoria vs Spezia 1-1
May 13 Sampdoria vs Juve Stab… 0-0
May 11 Sampdoria vs Sassuolo … 4-2
May 09 Sampdoria vs Salernita… 1-0
May 09 Sampdoria vs Alianza 1-0
May 04 Sampdoria vs Catanzaro 2-2
May 03 Sampdoria vs Como Women 1-2
May 01 Sampdoria vs Cremonese 0-0
Apr 27 Sampdoria vs Napoli Wo… 2-1
Apr 25 Sampdoria vs Carrarese 1-0
Modena Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 18 Modena vs Torino 1-0
Feb 08 Modena vs Sampdoria 1-0
Sep 29 Modena vs Sampdoria 1-3
Feb 03 Modena vs Sampdoria 2-2
Nov 11 Modena vs Sampdoria 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Modena struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 08, 2025 Sampdoria 1 - 0 Modena Serie B
Sep 29, 2024 Modena 1 - 3 Sampdoria Serie B
Feb 03, 2024 Sampdoria 2 - 2 Modena Serie B
Nov 11, 2023 Modena 0 - 2 Sampdoria Serie B
Final Verdict

ELITE: Sampdoria to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 85
  • Power: 32 vs 0
Sampdoria Power 32
Modena Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Sampdoria Position

-9

Position Gap

5

Modena Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.