Serie D · Aug 30, 2025 22:00
Santa Cruz RN
PWR 45
América-RN
PWR 46
Santa Cruz RN
PWR 45
1 - 0
FT
América-RN
PWR 46
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
2-2 (4%)
3-3 (3%)
3-0 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.6% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack25
Defense80
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G0.6
Attack35
Defense74
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.8
Santa Cruz RN Form
WDLDD
STABLE
América-RN Form
WDWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.573%
BTTS82%
Under 2.527%
Santa Cruz … Goals
0
2%
1
9%
2
16%
3
21%
4
19%
América-RN Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.79
Santa Cruz RNvs
1.85
América-RNDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum93%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Santa Cruz …+3
Gap#10
América-RN
WR 29% 10 pts
WR 25% 5 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz RN | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| América-RN | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Santa Cruz RN
10.0%
| Aug 28 | Santa C… v Rioverd… | 6-2 |
| Aug 24 | Santa C… v Santos | 0-0 |
| Aug 24 | Santa C… v Rioverd… | 1-3 |
| Aug 18 | Santa C… v Santos | 1-1 |
| Aug 10 | Santa C… v Vera Cr… | 1-1 |
| Jul 20 | Santa C… v Rioverd… | 4-3 |
| Jul 03 | Santa C… v Paraty | 3-3 |
| Apr 05 | Santa C… v ABC | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Santa C… v Sport R… | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Santa C… v América… | 2-0 |
América-RN
16.0%
| Aug 10 | América… v Figueir… | 2-0 |
| Aug 03 | América… v Figueir… | 1-1 |
| Mar 29 | América… v ABC | 0-1 |
| Mar 22 | América… v ABC | 1-1 |
| Mar 15 | América… v Santa C… | 2-0 |
| Mar 09 | América… v Santa C… | 2-1 |
| Feb 26 | América… v União C… | 4-2 |
| Feb 08 | América… v Santa C… | 3-0 |
| Feb 01 | América… v Potigua… | 0-1 |
| Jan 25 | América… v ABC | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 15, 2025 | América-RN | 2-0 | Santa Cruz RN |
| Mar 09, 2025 | Santa Cruz RN | 2-1 | América-RN |
| Feb 08, 2025 | América-RN | 3-0 | Santa Cruz RN |
| Apr 10, 2024 | Santa Cruz RN | 0-1 | América-RN |
| Feb 08, 2024 | Santa Cruz RN | 2-2 | América-RN |
| Jan 11, 2024 | América-RN | 0-0 | Santa Cruz RN |
| Mar 24, 2023 | América-RN | 4-0 | Santa Cruz RN |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Santa Cruz RN | 0-3 | América-RN |
| Feb 02, 2023 | Santa Cruz RN | 0-2 | América-RN |
| Jan 18, 2023 | América-RN | 5-1 | Santa Cruz RN |
Key Factors
América-RN in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.