Liga Portugal 2 · Aug 30, 2025 10:00

Penafiel FC
PWR 35
0 - 2
FT

Chaves
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (23%) 0-0 (20%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Penafiel FC Form LDLDD
STABLE
Chaves Form DDDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.522%
BTTS25%
Under 2.578%
Penafiel FC Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Chaves Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Penafiel FC
vs
0.46
Chaves
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings36%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
Penafiel FC
-7
Gap
#10
Chaves
WR 30% 23 pts WR 50% 27 pts
Penafiel FC 6.0%
Aug 24 Penafie… v Leixões… 3-2
Aug 17 Penafie… v Oliveir… 0-0
Aug 09 Penafie… v Portimo… 2-1
May 15 Penafie… v Chaves 0-0
May 11 Penafie… v Benfica 1-1
May 05 Penafie… v Moreire… 0-1
Apr 27 Penafie… v Leixões… 3-1
Apr 19 Penafie… v Moreire… 1-2
Apr 14 Penafie… v Mafra 4-2
Feb 21 Penafie… v Portimo… 3-0
Chaves 8.0%
Aug 22 Chaves v Felguei… 1-1
Aug 16 Chaves v Lusitân… 2-2
Aug 10 Chaves v Benfica… 1-1
May 15 Chaves v Penafie… 0-0
May 10 Chaves v União d… 0-2
May 04 Chaves v Tondela 2-1
Apr 29 Chaves v Alverca 0-2
Apr 19 Chaves v FC Porto 1-2
Apr 12 Chaves v Portimo… 2-0
Mar 30 Chaves v Pacos F… 2-0
Head-to-Head (7)
May 15, 2025 Penafiel FC 0-0 Chaves
Jan 04, 2025 Chaves 0-1 Penafiel FC
Jul 18, 2023 Penafiel FC 1-2 Chaves
Mar 06, 2022 Penafiel FC 2-1 Chaves
Oct 10, 2021 Chaves 3-1 Penafiel FC
Mar 29, 2021 Chaves 2-1 Penafiel FC
Nov 09, 2020 Penafiel FC 1-0 Chaves
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.