AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Rio Sep 03, 2025

Maringá

Home
VS
19:00

Portuguesa RJ

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Maringá Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Portuguesa RJ Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.20 - 0.97
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 1.0
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Maringá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Portuguesa RJ Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Maringá Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Maringá vs Caxias 3-0
Aug 27 Maringá vs Madureira… 1-2
Aug 24 Maringá vs AO Itabai… 2-2
Aug 20 Maringá vs Madureira… 4-0
Aug 16 Maringá vs Retrô FC … 1-0
Aug 13 Maringá vs Petrópolis 0-0
Aug 11 Maringá vs Figueiren… 1-1
Aug 09 Maringá vs Aparecide… 2-2
Aug 03 Maringá vs Floresta 1-1
Aug 02 Maringá vs Aparecide… 1-2
Portuguesa RJ Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Portugues… vs Bangu 0-0
Aug 27 Portugues… vs Bangu 0-0
Aug 13 Portugues… vs EC Resende 0-0
Aug 11 Portugues… vs Rayo Zuli… 1-2
Jul 30 Portugues… vs EC Resende 2-3
Mar 22 Portugues… vs Operário … 1-2
Mar 16 Portugues… vs Operário … 2-2
Mar 02 Portugues… vs Operário … 1-4
Feb 28 Portugues… vs Botafogo 1-1
Feb 23 Portugues… vs Oeste 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Maringá in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 16, 2025 Portuguesa RJ 3 - 1 Maringá Carioca - 1
Aug 28, 2024 Portuguesa RJ 1 - 2 Maringá Copa Rio
Aug 21, 2024 Maringá 2 - 2 Portuguesa RJ Copa Rio
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Maringá to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Maringá Power 0
Portuguesa RJ Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.