AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera DivisiĂłn Femenina Sep 05, 2025

Atlético Madrid Women

Home
VS
18:00

Real Madrid Women

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Atlético Madrid Women Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Real Madrid Women Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.50 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Madrid Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Real Madrid Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
79%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (17%) 1-0 (16%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Atlético Madrid Women Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Atlético … vs Espanyol … 0-5
May 18 Atlético … vs Levante L… 5-0
May 11 Atlético … vs Eibar Wom… 0-2
May 04 Atlético … vs Athletic … 1-0
Apr 27 Atlético … vs Levante W… 2-2
Apr 18 Atlético … vs Granadill… 2-0
Apr 13 Atlético … vs Barcelona… 6-0
Mar 23 Atlético … vs Real Soci… 0-2
Mar 16 Atlético … vs Espanyol … 1-1
Feb 07 Atlético … vs Sevilla F… 1-0
Real Madrid Women Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Real Madr… vs Edf Logro… 2-2
May 18 Real Madr… vs Valencia 2-2
May 11 Real Madr… vs Granadill… 1-1
May 04 Real Madr… vs Granada 1-2
Apr 25 Real Madr… vs Madrid CF… 7-3
Apr 20 Real Madr… vs Real Betis 5-1
Apr 12 Real Madr… vs Eibar Wom… 0-3
Mar 30 Real Madr… vs Real Soci… 3-0
Mar 26 Real Madr… vs Arsenal W… 3-0
Mar 23 Real Madr… vs Barcelona… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • AtlĂ©tico Madrid Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 05, 2025 Atlético Madrid Wom… 1 - 2 Real Madrid Women Primera Divisi…
Oct 13, 2024 Real Madrid Women 1 - 1 Atlético Madrid Wom… Primera Divisi…
May 11, 2024 Real Madrid Women 2 - 3 Atlético Madrid Wom… Primera Divisi…
Feb 14, 2024 Atlético Madrid Wom… 1 - 1 Real Madrid Women Primera Divisi…
Mar 12, 2023 Atlético Madrid Wom… 0 - 0 Real Madrid Women Primera Divisi…
Dec 11, 2022 Real Madrid Women 1 - 0 Atlético Madrid Wom… Primera Divisi…
Mar 09, 2022 Atlético Madrid Wom… 0 - 2 Real Madrid Women Primera Divisi…
Sep 12, 2021 Real Madrid Women 0 - 2 Atlético Madrid Wom… Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlético Madrid Women Power 42
Real Madrid Women Power 51
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Atlético Madrid Women Position

-3

Position Gap

2

Real Madrid Women Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.