AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie C Sep 06, 2025

Guaraní Campinas

Home
VS
20:00

Ponte Preta

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Guaraní Campinas Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Ponte Preta Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.44 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.4
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Guaraní Campinas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Ponte Preta Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (16%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Guaraní Campinas Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Guaraní C… vs Tombense 2-2
Aug 25 Guaraní C… vs Confiança 1-0
Aug 16 Guaraní C… vs ABC 3-4
Aug 09 Guaraní C… vs Ypiranga-… 2-1
Aug 02 Guaraní C… vs Ponte Pre… 1-1
Jul 26 Guaraní C… vs Nautico R… 0-1
Jul 21 Guaraní C… vs Anápolis 2-0
Jul 13 Guaraní C… vs Ituano 0-0
Jul 06 Guaraní C… vs Londrina 1-1
Jul 05 Guaraní C… vs São Berna… 0-0
Ponte Preta Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Ponte Pre… vs Londrina 1-0
Aug 25 Ponte Pre… vs CSA 1-2
Aug 16 Ponte Pre… vs AO Itabai… 1-0
Aug 09 Ponte Pre… vs Botafogo 2-1
Aug 02 Ponte Pre… vs Guaraní C… 1-1
Jul 27 Ponte Pre… vs Caxias 2-1
Jul 19 Ponte Pre… vs Floresta 2-1
Jul 12 Ponte Pre… vs São Berna… 2-0
Jul 07 Ponte Pre… vs Tombense 1-0
Jun 28 Ponte Pre… vs Maringá 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Guaraní Campinas in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Ponte Preta in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 02, 2025 Ponte Preta 1 - 1 Guaraní Campinas Serie C
Feb 09, 2025 Ponte Preta 2 - 0 Guaraní Campinas Paulista - A1
Oct 20, 2024 Ponte Preta 0 - 1 Guaraní Campinas Serie B
Jun 30, 2024 Guaraní Campinas 1 - 1 Ponte Preta Serie B
Sep 02, 2023 Guaraní Campinas 1 - 0 Ponte Preta Serie B
May 21, 2023 Ponte Preta 1 - 1 Guaraní Campinas Serie B
Aug 20, 2022 Ponte Preta 1 - 0 Guaraní Campinas Serie B
May 08, 2022 Guaraní Campinas 0 - 0 Ponte Preta Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Guaraní Campinas to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Guaraní Campinas Power 0
Ponte Preta Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.