AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie C Sep 07, 2025

Floresta

Home
VS
19:30

Caxias

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Floresta Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Caxias Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.07 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.4
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Floresta Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Caxias Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (15%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Floresta Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Floresta vs São Berna… 2-0
Aug 23 Floresta vs Figueiren… 1-0
Aug 17 Floresta vs Confiança 1-0
Aug 10 Floresta vs Tombense 1-0
Aug 03 Floresta vs Maringá 1-1
Jul 26 Floresta vs ABC 1-1
Jul 19 Floresta vs Ponte Pre… 2-1
Jul 12 Floresta vs Ypiranga-… 2-1
Jul 05 Floresta vs Nautico R… 0-0
Jun 30 Floresta vs Brusque 2-1
Caxias Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Caxias vs Maringá 3-0
Aug 23 Caxias vs Brusque 0-1
Aug 18 Caxias vs Tombense 0-0
Aug 09 Caxias vs ABC 1-0
Aug 03 Caxias vs Ypiranga-… 0-1
Jul 27 Caxias vs Ponte Pre… 2-1
Jul 21 Caxias vs Nautico R… 2-0
Jul 13 Caxias vs Anápolis 1-0
Jul 05 Caxias vs CSA 2-3
Jun 29 Caxias vs Ituano 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 13, 2025 Caxias 1 - 0 Floresta Serie C
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Floresta to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Floresta Power 0
Caxias Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.