AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa do Brasil Sep 12, 2025

Botafogo

Home
VS
00:30

Vasco DA Gama

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Botafogo Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Vasco DA Gama Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.63 - 1.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 1.4
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Botafogo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Vasco DA Gama Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Under 2.5 Goals 29%
Botafogo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 06 Botafogo vs Athletico… 1-3
Sep 03 Botafogo vs Fluminense 1-1
Aug 30 Botafogo vs Anápolis 2-0
Aug 30 Botafogo vs RB Bragan… 4-1
Aug 30 Botafogo vs Goiás 2-3
Aug 28 Botafogo vs Vasco DA … 1-1
Aug 27 Botafogo vs Santos 5-3
Aug 25 Botafogo vs Vila Nova 2-0
Aug 24 Botafogo vs Juventude 1-3
Aug 24 Botafogo vs Tombense 1-0
Vasco DA Gama Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Vasco DA … vs Sport Rec… 2-3
Aug 28 Vasco DA … vs Botafogo 1-1
Aug 24 Vasco DA … vs Corinthia… 2-3
Aug 20 Vasco DA … vs Juventude 2-0
Aug 17 Vasco DA … vs Santos 0-6
Aug 10 Vasco DA … vs Atletico-… 1-1
Aug 07 Vasco DA … vs CSA 3-1
Aug 02 Vasco DA … vs Mirassol 3-2
Jul 30 Vasco DA … vs CSA 0-0
Jul 27 Vasco DA … vs Internaci… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 28, 2025 Vasco DA Gama 1 - 1 Botafogo Copa do Brasil
Jul 12, 2025 Vasco DA Gama 0 - 2 Botafogo Serie A
Feb 23, 2025 Vasco DA Gama 1 - 0 Botafogo Carioca - 1
Nov 06, 2024 Botafogo 3 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Serie A
Jun 29, 2024 Vasco DA Gama 1 - 1 Botafogo Serie A
Feb 18, 2024 Botafogo 2 - 4 Vasco DA Gama Carioca - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Botafogo to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Botafogo Power 0
Vasco DA Gama Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.