Bundesliga · Sep 13, 2025 13:30
SC Freiburg
PWR 34
VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
SC Freiburg
PWR 34
3 - 1
FT
VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-3 (5%)
2-2 (5%)
3-3 (5%)
3-2 (5%)
1-3 (4%)
1-2 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Elite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 5.6% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack47
Defense51
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Attack90
Defense40
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G2.0
SC Freiburg Form
LLDLW
DOWN
VfB Stuttgart Form
DDWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.578%
BTTS89%
Under 2.522%
SC Freiburg Goals
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
VfB Stuttga… Goals
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.72
SC Freiburgvs
3.16
VfB StuttgartDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum45%
Standings42%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
SC Freiburg-4
Gap#4
VfB Stuttga…
WR 56% 27 pts
WR 50% 39 pts
SC Freiburg
6.0%
| Aug 31 | SC Frei… v FC Koln | 4-1 |
| Aug 23 | SC Frei… v FC Augs… | 1-3 |
| Aug 09 | SC Frei… v Osasuna | 2-2 |
| May 17 | SC Frei… v Eintrac… | 1-3 |
| May 10 | SC Frei… v Holstei… | 1-2 |
| May 04 | SC Frei… v Bayer L… | 2-2 |
| Apr 26 | SC Frei… v VfL Wol… | 0-1 |
| Apr 19 | SC Frei… v 1899 Ho… | 3-2 |
| Apr 12 | SC Frei… v M'gladb… | 1-2 |
| Apr 05 | SC Frei… v Borussi… | 1-4 |
VfB Stuttgart
14.0%
| Sep 07 | VfB Stu… v Borussi… | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | VfB Stu… v Anderna… | 1-1 |
| Aug 30 | VfB Stu… v Borussi… | 1-0 |
| Aug 26 | VfB Stu… v Eintrac… | 4-4 |
| Aug 24 | VfB Stu… v Bayern … | 3-0 |
| Aug 23 | VfB Stu… v Union B… | 2-1 |
| Aug 16 | VfB Stu… v Bayern … | 1-2 |
| Aug 09 | VfB Stu… v Bologna | 0-1 |
| May 24 | VfB Stu… v Arminia… | 2-4 |
| May 17 | VfB Stu… v RB Leip… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 18, 2025 | VfB Stuttgart | 4-0 | SC Freiburg |
| Aug 24, 2024 | SC Freiburg | 3-1 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Aug 24, 2024 | SC Freiburg | 3-1 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Feb 03, 2024 | SC Freiburg | 1-3 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Feb 03, 2024 | SC Freiburg | 1-3 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Sep 02, 2023 | VfB Stuttgart | 5-0 | SC Freiburg |
| Feb 11, 2023 | SC Freiburg | 2-1 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Aug 20, 2022 | VfB Stuttgart | 0-1 | SC Freiburg |
| Jan 22, 2022 | SC Freiburg | 2-0 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Aug 28, 2021 | VfB Stuttgart | 2-3 | SC Freiburg |
Key Factors
SC Freiburg struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.