Bundesliga · Sep 19, 2025 18:30

VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
2 - 0
FT

FC St. Pauli
PWR 35
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
VfB Stuttgart Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
77%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (19%) 1-0 (16%) 0-1 (16%) 1-1 (13%) 2-0 (7%) 0-2 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
WON - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 77%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy77%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPHOME_FORMDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed (4 independent rules, 77% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack90
Defense40
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
VfB Stuttgart Form DLDWD
STABLE
FC St. Pauli Form WWDLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.523%
BTTS32%
Under 2.577%
VfB Stuttga… Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
FC St. Pauli Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
VfB Stuttgart
vs
0.81
FC St. Pauli
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings88%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
VfB Stuttga…
+12
Gap
#17
FC St. Pauli
WR 70% 39 pts WR 9% 17 pts
VfB Stuttgart 10.0%
Sep 14 VfB Stu… v Viktori… 2-2
Sep 13 VfB Stu… v SC Frei… 3-1
Aug 31 VfB Stu… v Anderna… 1-1
Aug 30 VfB Stu… v Borussi… 1-0
Aug 26 VfB Stu… v Eintrac… 4-4
Aug 24 VfB Stu… v Bayern … 3-0
Aug 23 VfB Stu… v Union B… 2-1
Aug 16 VfB Stu… v Bayern … 1-2
Aug 09 VfB Stu… v Bologna 0-1
May 24 VfB Stu… v Arminia… 2-4
FC St. Pauli 12.0%
Sep 14 FC St. … v FC Augs… 2-1
Aug 29 FC St. … v Hamburg… 0-2
Aug 23 FC St. … v Borussi… 3-3
May 17 FC St. … v VfL Boc… 0-2
May 11 FC St. … v Eintrac… 2-2
May 03 FC St. … v VfB Stu… 0-1
Apr 27 FC St. … v Werder … 0-0
Apr 20 FC St. … v Bayer L… 1-1
Apr 12 FC St. … v Holstei… 1-2
Apr 06 FC St. … v Borussi… 1-1
Head-to-Head (3)
May 03, 2025 FC St. Pauli 0-1 VfB Stuttgart
Dec 21, 2024 VfB Stuttgart 0-1 FC St. Pauli
Dec 21, 2024 VfB Stuttgart 0-1 FC St. Pauli
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.