Predictions Match Details
Bundesliga · Sep 20, 2025 16:30

RB Leipzig
PWR 41
3 - 1
FT

FC Koln
PWR 46
37% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: RB Leipzig to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 1-2 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 2-0 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy73%
POINTS_GAPHOME_FORMDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack57
Defense60
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.4
Attack60
Defense70
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.0
RB Leipzig Form WWLWL
STABLE
FC Koln Form DWWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS66%
Under 2.535%
RB Leipzig Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
FC Koln Goals
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
RB Leipzig
vs
1.50
FC Koln
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum65%
Standings72%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
RB Leipzig
+6
Gap
#10
FC Koln
WR 70% 39 pts WR 20% 23 pts
RB Leipzig 12.0%
Sep 13 RB Leip… v FSV Mai… 0-1
Aug 30 RB Leip… v FC Heid… 2-0
Aug 22 RB Leip… v Bayern … 6-0
Aug 16 RB Leip… v SV Sand… 2-4
Aug 09 RB Leip… v Lens 2-1
May 17 RB Leip… v VfB Stu… 2-3
May 10 RB Leip… v Werder … 0-0
May 03 RB Leip… v Bayern … 3-3
Apr 26 RB Leip… v Eintrac… 4-0
Apr 19 RB Leip… v Holstei… 1-1
FC Koln 18.0%
Sep 13 FC Koln v VfL Wol… 3-3
Aug 31 FC Koln v SC Frei… 4-1
Aug 24 FC Koln v FSV Mai… 0-1
Aug 17 FC Koln v Jahn Re… 1-2
Aug 09 FC Koln v Atalanta 4-0
May 18 FC Koln v FC Kais… 4-0
May 09 FC Koln v FC Nurn… 1-2
May 03 FC Koln v Jahn Re… 1-1
Apr 27 FC Koln v Hannove… 1-0
Apr 20 FC Koln v Preusse… 3-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Mar 15, 2024 FC Koln 1-5 RB Leipzig
Mar 15, 2024 FC Koln 1-5 RB Leipzig
Oct 28, 2023 RB Leipzig 6-0 FC Koln
Feb 04, 2023 FC Koln 0-0 RB Leipzig
Aug 13, 2022 RB Leipzig 2-2 FC Koln
Feb 11, 2022 RB Leipzig 3-1 FC Koln
Sep 18, 2021 FC Koln 1-1 RB Leipzig
Apr 20, 2021 FC Koln 2-1 RB Leipzig
Dec 19, 2020 RB Leipzig 0-0 FC Koln
Jun 01, 2020 FC Koln 2-4 RB Leipzig
Key Factors
RB Leipzig in strong form (3W in last 5)
FC Koln in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.