National League · Oct 04, 2025 14:00

Tamworth
PWR 30
1 - 1
FT

Morecambe
PWR 25
59% H 22% D 19% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Tamworth to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskConfidence 72.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense50
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.7
Attack35
Defense37
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G2.1
Tamworth Form WDDWW
STABLE
Morecambe Form LLLWD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS31%
Under 2.541%
Tamworth Goals
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Morecambe Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.09
Tamworth
vs
0.38
Morecambe
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings74%
Market50%
League Standings
#11
Tamworth
+12
Gap
#23
Morecambe
WR 33% 36 pts WR 13% 22 pts
Tamworth 16.0%
Oct 01 Tamworth v Altrinc… 1-2
Sep 27 Tamworth v Hartlep… 1-1
Sep 24 Tamworth v Wealdst… 1-1
Sep 20 Tamworth v Yeovil … 1-0
Sep 16 Tamworth v Everton… 2-1
Sep 13 Tamworth v Southam… 2-3
Sep 09 Tamworth v York 4-0
Sep 06 Tamworth v Eastlei… 1-0
Sep 02 Tamworth v Braintr… 1-2
Aug 25 Tamworth v Crawley… 1-1
Morecambe 6.0%
Sep 30 Morecam… v Gateshe… 2-5
Sep 27 Morecam… v Truro C… 5-0
Sep 24 Morecam… v FC Hali… 1-2
Sep 20 Morecam… v Wealdst… 4-3
Sep 13 Morecam… v Solihul… 4-4
Sep 06 Morecam… v Boreham… 3-0
Sep 02 Morecam… v Forest … 1-3
Aug 30 Morecam… v Woking 0-2
Aug 25 Morecam… v Aldersh… 4-0
Aug 23 Morecam… v Altrinc… 2-1
Key Factors
Tamworth in strong form (3W in last 5)
Morecambe struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.