Predictions Match Details
Copa Paulista · Sep 27, 2025 21:00

XV de Piracicaba
PWR 67
1 - 0
FT

Comercial
PWR 54
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: XV de Piracicaba to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (25%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack44
Defense87
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G0.4
Attack37
Defense74
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G0.8
XV de Piracica… Form DWWWL
STABLE
Comercial Form DWWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.516%
BTTS13%
Under 2.584%
XV de Pirac… Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Comercial Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
XV de Piracica…
vs
0.20
Comercial
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
XV de Pirac…
+4
Gap
#5
Comercial
WR 69% 61 pts WR 50% 27 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
XV de Piracicaba261871331061
Comercial16835171227
XV de Piracica… 14.0%
Sep 19 XV de P… v Comerci… 1-1
Sep 13 XV de P… v Oeste 2-0
Sep 06 XV de P… v Oeste 0-1
Aug 30 XV de P… v AEA 2-0
Aug 23 XV de P… v AEA 1-0
Aug 16 XV de P… v Paulist… 1-0
Aug 10 XV de P… v Primave… 0-2
Aug 01 XV de P… v Guaraní… 1-0
Jul 26 XV de P… v Rio Bra… 0-0
Jul 18 XV de P… v São Ber… 2-1
Comercial 14.0%
Sep 19 Comerci… v XV de P… 1-1
Sep 13 Comerci… v São Jos… 0-1
Sep 07 Comerci… v São Jos… 1-0
Sep 02 Comerci… v Inter D… 1-0
Aug 26 Comerci… v Inter D… 1-0
Aug 16 Comerci… v União S… 1-0
Aug 11 Comerci… v Inter D… 2-2
Aug 06 Comerci… v Botafogo 0-2
Jul 26 Comerci… v Jataien… 4-2
Jul 19 Comerci… v Maracan… 1-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Sep 19, 2025 Comercial 1-1 XV de Piracic…
Key Factors
XV de Piracicaba in strong form (3W in last 5)
Comercial in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.