AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Sep 21, 2025

Bayer Leverkusen

Home
VS
15:30

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Bayer Leverkusen Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Borussia Mönchengladbach Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 3.56 - 1.19
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 1.2 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bayer Leverkusen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Borussia Mönchengladbach Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 2-0 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Bayer Leverkusen Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 18 Bayer Lev… vs FC Copenh… 2-2
Sep 12 Bayer Lev… vs Eintracht… 3-1
Aug 30 Bayer Lev… vs Werder Br… 3-3
Aug 23 Bayer Lev… vs 1899 Hoff… 1-2
Aug 08 Bayer Lev… vs Chelsea 2-0
May 17 Bayer Lev… vs FSV Mainz… 2-2
May 17 Bayer Lev… vs Mainz 2-2
May 11 Bayer Lev… vs Borussia … 2-4
May 04 Bayer Lev… vs SC Freibu… 2-2
Apr 26 Bayer Lev… vs FC Augsbu… 2-0
Borussia Mönchengladbach Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Borussia … vs Werder Br… 0-4
Aug 30 Borussia … vs VfB Stutt… 1-0
Aug 24 Borussia … vs Hamburger… 0-0
Aug 08 Borussia … vs Brentford 2-2
May 17 Borussia … vs VfL Wolfs… 0-1
May 10 Borussia … vs Bayern Mu… 2-0
May 03 Borussia … vs 1899 Hoff… 4-4
Apr 26 Borussia … vs Holstein … 4-3
Apr 20 Borussia … vs Borussia … 3-2
Apr 06 Borussia … vs FC St. Pa… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 18, 2025 Bayer Leverkusen 3 - 1 Borussia Mönchengla… Bundesliga
Aug 23, 2024 Borussia Mönchengla… 2 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen Bundesliga
Jan 27, 2024 Bayer Leverkusen 0 - 0 Borussia Mönchengla… Bundesliga
Aug 26, 2023 Borussia Mönchengla… 0 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen Bundesliga
May 21, 2023 Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 2 Borussia Mönchengla… Bundesliga
Jan 22, 2023 Borussia Mönchengla… 2 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen Bundesliga
Jan 15, 2022 Borussia Mönchengla… 1 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen Bundesliga
Aug 21, 2021 Bayer Leverkusen 4 - 0 Borussia Mönchengla… Bundesliga
Mar 06, 2021 Borussia Mönchengla… 0 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen Bundesliga
Final Verdict

ELITE: Bayer Leverkusen to win (93% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 2-0 93% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 42 vs 4
Bayer Leverkusen Power 42
Borussia Mönchengladbach Power 4
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Bayer Leverkusen Position

+6

Position Gap

12

Borussia Mönchengladbach Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.