AI Match Insights
Bundesliga Sep 21, 2025
Borussia Dortmund
HomeVS
17:30
VfL Wolfsburg
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Borussia Dortmund Win
Draw
VfL Wolfsburg Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
88%
Market
50%
Combined: 57%
Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.58 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.6
Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Borussia Dortmund Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
VfL Wolfsburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%)
3-0 (12%)
1-0 (11%)
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
Borussia Dortmund Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | Borussia … vs Juventus | 4-4 |
| Sep 13 | Borussia … vs FC Heiden… | 0-2 |
| Aug 31 | Borussia … vs Union Ber… | 3-0 |
| Aug 23 | Borussia … vs FC St. Pa… | 3-3 |
| Aug 18 | Borussia … vs Rot-Weiß … | 0-1 |
| Aug 10 | Borussia … vs Juventus | 1-2 |
| May 17 | Borussia … vs Holstein … | 3-0 |
| May 11 | Borussia … vs Bayer Lev… | 2-4 |
| May 03 | Borussia … vs VfL Wolfs… | 4-0 |
| Apr 26 | Borussia … vs 1899 Hoff… | 2-3 |
VfL Wolfsburg Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13 | VfL Wolfs… vs FC Koln | 3-3 |
| Aug 31 | VfL Wolfs… vs FSV Mainz… | 1-1 |
| Aug 23 | VfL Wolfs… vs FC Heiden… | 1-3 |
| Aug 16 | VfL Wolfs… vs Hemelingen | 0-9 |
| Aug 09 | VfL Wolfs… vs Brighton | 2-0 |
| May 17 | VfL Wolfs… vs Borussia … | 0-1 |
| May 17 | VfL Wolfs… vs M'gladbach | 0-1 |
| May 09 | VfL Wolfs… vs 1899 Hoff… | 2-2 |
| May 03 | VfL Wolfs… vs Borussia … | 4-0 |
| Apr 26 | VfL Wolfs… vs SC Freibu… | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Borussia Dortmund in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 03, 2025 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 - 0 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| Dec 22, 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 - 3 | Borussia Dortmund | Pro League |
| Dec 22, 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 - 3 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| Oct 29, 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 - 0 | Borussia Dortmund | DFB Pokal |
| Feb 17, 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 - 1 | Borussia Dortmund | Pro League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 - 1 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 - 0 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| May 07, 2023 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 - 0 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| Nov 08, 2022 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 - 0 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 - 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
Final Verdict
MASTER: Borussia Dortmund to win (75% confidence)
MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0
75% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Borussia Dortmund Power
47
VfL Wolfsburg Power
35
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
Borussia Dortmund Position+12
Position Gap14
VfL Wolfsburg Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.