AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA WSL Dec 11, 2025

Aston Villa Women

Home
VS
19:00

Liverpool Women

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Aston Villa Women Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Liverpool Women Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 2.00 - 2.08
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aston Villa Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Liverpool Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-3 (5%) 2-3 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
Aston Villa Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Aston Vil… vs Tottenham… 2-1
Nov 21 Aston Vil… vs Birmingha… 3-3
Nov 16 Aston Vil… vs London Ci… 1-3
Nov 08 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 0-1
Nov 02 Aston Vil… vs Everton W… 3-3
Oct 19 Aston Vil… vs Bristol C… 0-3
Oct 12 Aston Vil… vs Leicester… 0-0
Oct 05 Aston Vil… vs West Ham … 0-2
Sep 27 Aston Vil… vs Arsenal W… 1-1
Sep 24 Aston Vil… vs Tottenham… 0-0
Liverpool Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 06 Liverpool… vs Arsenal W… 2-1
Nov 22 Liverpool… vs Sheffield… 1-4
Nov 16 Liverpool… vs Chelsea W… 1-1
Nov 09 Liverpool… vs Brighton … 1-1
Nov 02 Liverpool… vs Tottenham… 2-1
Oct 17 Liverpool… vs Durham Wo… 1-2
Oct 12 Liverpool… vs Mancheste… 1-2
Oct 05 Liverpool… vs London Ci… 1-0
Sep 28 Liverpool… vs Mancheste… 0-2
Sep 24 Liverpool… vs Sunderlan… 5-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 30, 2025 Liverpool Women 1 - 2 Aston Villa Women FA WSL
Nov 03, 2024 Aston Villa Women 1 - 2 Liverpool Women FA WSL
Mar 03, 2024 Aston Villa Women 1 - 4 Liverpool Women FA WSL
Oct 08, 2023 Liverpool Women 2 - 0 Aston Villa Women FA WSL
May 21, 2023 Aston Villa Women 3 - 3 Liverpool Women FA WSL
Nov 06, 2022 Liverpool Women 0 - 1 Aston Villa Women FA WSL
Oct 13, 2021 Liverpool Women 1 - 1 Aston Villa Women WSL Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Aston Villa Women to win (53% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 3-2 53% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aston Villa Women Power 30
Liverpool Women Power 38
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Aston Villa Women Position

+5

Position Gap

12

Liverpool Women Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.