AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Apr 13, 2024

Southampton

Home
VS
15:00

Watford

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Southampton Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Watford Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 77%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.54 - 0.73
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.7
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Southampton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Watford Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Southampton Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 09 Southampt… vs Coventry 2-1
Apr 09 Southampt… vs Coventry 2-1
Apr 06 Southampt… vs Blackburn 0-0
Apr 06 Southampt… vs Stockport 1-3
Apr 01 Southampt… vs Ipswich 3-2
Apr 01 Southampt… vs Swindon 3-1
Mar 29 Southampt… vs Middlesbr… 1-1
Mar 29 Southampt… vs Middlesbr… 1-1
Mar 29 Southampt… vs Watford 1-2
Mar 23 Southampt… vs Accringto… 3-1
Watford Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 10 Watford vs Ipswich 0-0
Apr 10 Watford vs Ipswich 0-0
Apr 06 Watford vs Preston 0-0
Apr 06 Watford vs Preston 0-0
Apr 06 Watford vs AFC Wimbl… 1-0
Apr 01 Watford vs West Brom 2-2
Apr 01 Watford vs Walsall 2-1
Mar 29 Watford vs Leeds 2-2
Mar 29 Watford vs Southampt… 1-2
Mar 23 Watford vs Newport C… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 29, 2024 Watford 1 - 2 Southampton Pro League
Dec 09, 2023 Watford 1 - 1 Southampton Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Southampton to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Southampton Power 36
Watford Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.