Pro League · Feb 11, 2024 15:00
AC Milan
PWR 45
Napoli
PWR 40
AC Milan
PWR 45
1 - 0
FT
Napoli
PWR 40
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: AC Milan to win (85% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
85%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (22%)
1-0 (18%)
3-0 (17%)
0-0 (8%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)ā ļø Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probabilityš” PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 5.7% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense78
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.7
Attack43
Defense73
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.9
AC Milan Form
WDDWW
STABLE
Napoli Form
WWDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.544%
BTTS16%
Under 2.556%
AC Milan Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Napoli Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36
AC Milanvs
0.20
NapoliDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#67
AC Milan+22
Gap#89
Napoli
WR 51% 79 pts
WR 46% 73 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 82 | 52 | 79 |
| Napoli | 44 | 20 | 13 | 11 | 58 | 47 | 73 |
AC Milan
16.0%
| Feb 03 | AC Milan v Frosinoā¦ | 2-3 |
| Jan 27 | AC Milan v Bologna | 2-2 |
| Jan 27 | AC Milan v Bologna | 2-2 |
| Jan 20 | AC Milan v Udinese | 2-3 |
| Jan 14 | AC Milan v AS Roma | 3-1 |
| Jan 14 | AC Milan v AS Roma | 3-1 |
| Jan 10 | AC Milan v Atalanta | 1-2 |
| Jan 07 | AC Milan v Empoli | 0-3 |
| Jan 02 | AC Milan v Cagliari | 4-1 |
| Dec 30 | AC Milan v Sassuolo | 1-0 |
Napoli
12.0%
| Feb 04 | Napoli v Verona | 2-1 |
| Feb 04 | Napoli v Verona | 2-1 |
| Jan 28 | Napoli v Lazio | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Napoli v Lazio | 0-0 |
| Jan 22 | Napoli v Inter | 0-1 |
| Jan 18 | Napoli v Fiorentā¦ | 3-0 |
| Jan 13 | Napoli v Salerniā¦ | 2-1 |
| Jan 07 | Napoli v Torino | 3-0 |
| Dec 29 | Napoli v Monza | 0-0 |
| Dec 23 | Napoli v AS Roma | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Oct 29, 2023 | Napoli | 2-2 | AC Milan |
| Apr 18, 2023 | Napoli | 1-1 | AC Milan |
| Apr 12, 2023 | AC Milan | 1-0 | Napoli |
| Apr 02, 2023 | Napoli | 0-4 | AC Milan |
| Sep 18, 2022 | AC Milan | 1-2 | Napoli |
Key Factors
AC Milan in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.