Pro League · Apr 27, 2024 15:00

Monza
PWR 43
1 - 0
FT

Sudtirol
PWR 35
33% H 27% D 40% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Monza to win (85% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
85%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 1-2 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 9% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack46
Defense75
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.8
Attack33
Defense69
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.0
Monza Form LDDLL
STABLE
Sudtirol Form DWDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.546%
BTTS52%
Under 2.554%
Monza Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Sudtirol Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Monza
vs
1.19
Sudtirol
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#51
Monza
+163
Gap
#214
Sudtirol
WR 19% 88 pts WR 28% 49 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Monza891737359512488
Sudtirol46131023486649
Monza 4.0%
Apr 21 Monza v Atalanta 1-2
Apr 20 Monza v Ascoli 0-0
Apr 13 Monza v Bologna 0-0
Apr 12 Monza v Catanza… 1-3
Apr 12 Monza v Catanza… 1-3
Apr 07 Monza v Napoli 2-4
Apr 06 Monza v Ternana 0-0
Apr 01 Monza v Bari 1-1
Mar 30 Monza v Torino 1-0
Mar 16 Monza v Cagliari 1-0
Sudtirol 12.0%
Apr 20 Sudtirol v Cittade… 0-0
Apr 13 Sudtirol v Sampdor… 0-1
Apr 06 Sudtirol v Parma 0-0
Apr 01 Sudtirol v Como 2-0
Mar 16 Sudtirol v Cremone… 3-0
Mar 09 Sudtirol v Spezia 2-1
Mar 09 Sudtirol v Spezia 2-1
Mar 02 Sudtirol v Lecce 1-0
Feb 27 Sudtirol v Reggian… 1-1
Feb 24 Sudtirol v Bari 1-0
Key Factors
Monza struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.