Pro League · Nov 24, 2023 15:00
Sampdoria
PWR 32
Spezia
PWR 30
Sampdoria
PWR 32
2 - 1
FT
Spezia
PWR 30
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Sampdoria to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%)
2-0 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
1-0 (9%)
3-1 (7%)
3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POSITION_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 4% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack29
Defense62
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.3
Attack26
Defense60
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Sampdoria Form
WWLWD
STABLE
Spezia Form
DDDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS57%
Under 2.540%
Sampdoria Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Spezia Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Sampdoriavs
1.03
SpeziaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#143
Sampdoria-46
Gap#97
Spezia
WR 36% 62 pts
WR 40% 72 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 62 | 64 | 62 |
| Spezia | 45 | 18 | 18 | 9 | 55 | 44 | 72 |
Sampdoria
14.0%
| Nov 11 | Sampdor… v Monza | 0-2 |
| Nov 04 | Sampdor… v Palermo | 1-0 |
| Oct 01 | Sampdor… v Catanza… | 1-2 |
| Aug 03 | Sampdor… v Virtus … | 3-1 |
| Apr 22 | Sampdor… v Spezia | 1-1 |
| Sep 17 | Sampdor… v Spezia | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Sampdor… v Spezia | 1-0 |
| Oct 22 | Sampdor… v Spezia | 2-1 |
Spezia
14.0%
| Oct 23 | Spezia v Palermo | 2-2 |
| Aug 20 | Spezia v Sudtirol | 3-3 |
| Apr 22 | Spezia v Sampdor… | 1-1 |
| Sep 17 | Spezia v Sampdor… | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Spezia v Sampdor… | 1-0 |
| Oct 22 | Spezia v Sampdor… | 2-1 |
| Aug 20 | Spezia v Frosino… | 0-1 |
| Aug 16 | Spezia v Frosino… | 0-1 |
| Jul 27 | Spezia v Virtus … | 0-0 |
| Jul 03 | Spezia v Frosino… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Apr 22, 2023 | Sampdoria | 1-1 | Spezia |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Spezia | 2-1 | Sampdoria |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Spezia | 1-0 | Sampdoria |
| Oct 22, 2021 | Sampdoria | 2-1 | Spezia |
Key Factors
Sampdoria in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.