Pro League · Dec 21, 2024 15:00
Genoa
PWR 32
Napoli
PWR 40
Genoa
PWR 32
1 - 2
FT
Napoli
PWR 40
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Genoa to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (10%)
1-2 (9%)
1-0 (9%)
2-1 (7%)
0-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense56
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.5
Attack43
Defense73
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.9
Genoa Form
DDDWW
STABLE
Napoli Form
WWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.549%
BTTS53%
Under 2.551%
Genoa Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Napoli Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Genoavs
1.43
NapoliDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#194
Genoa-105
Gap#89
Napoli
WR 28% 53 pts
WR 46% 73 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 43 | 12 | 17 | 14 | 46 | 54 | 53 |
| Napoli | 44 | 20 | 13 | 11 | 58 | 47 | 73 |
Genoa
14.0%
| Dec 15 | Genoa v AC Milan | 0-0 |
| Dec 15 | Genoa v AC Milan | 0-0 |
| Dec 07 | Genoa v Torino | 0-0 |
| Dec 01 | Genoa v Udinese | 0-2 |
| Dec 01 | Genoa v Udinese | 0-2 |
| Nov 24 | Genoa v Cagliari | 2-2 |
| Nov 24 | Genoa v Cagliari | 2-2 |
| Nov 07 | Genoa v Como | 1-1 |
| Nov 04 | Genoa v Parma | 0-1 |
| Nov 04 | Genoa v Parma | 0-1 |
Napoli
8.0%
| Dec 14 | Napoli v Udinese | 1-3 |
| Dec 14 | Napoli v Udinese | 1-3 |
| Dec 08 | Napoli v Lazio | 0-1 |
| Dec 08 | Napoli v Lazio | 0-1 |
| Dec 05 | Napoli v Lazio | 3-1 |
| Dec 01 | Napoli v Torino | 0-1 |
| Nov 24 | Napoli v AS Roma | 1-0 |
| Nov 24 | Napoli v AS Roma | 1-0 |
| Nov 10 | Napoli v Inter | 1-1 |
| Nov 10 | Napoli v Inter | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Feb 17, 2024 | Napoli | 1-1 | Genoa |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Napoli | 1-1 | Genoa |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Genoa | 2-2 | Napoli |
| May 15, 2022 | Napoli | 3-0 | Genoa |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Genoa | 1-2 | Napoli |
| Feb 06, 2021 | Genoa | 2-1 | Napoli |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Napoli | 6-0 | Genoa |
| Jul 08, 2020 | Genoa | 1-2 | Napoli |
Key Factors
Napoli struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.