Pro League · Oct 25, 2024 15:00
Casa Pia AC
PWR 43
Nacional
PWR 31
Casa Pia AC
PWR 43
1 - 0
FT
Nacional
PWR 31
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Casa Pia AC to win (80% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
80%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (27%)
1-0 (22%)
0-1 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (9%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 50%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense50
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.4
Attack24
Defense50
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.4
Casa Pia AC Form
LLDDD
DOWN
Nacional Form
LDLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.514%
BTTS21%
Under 2.586%
Casa Pia AC Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Nacional Goals
0
62%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Casa Pia ACvs
0.48
NacionalDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum64%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#202
Casa Pia AC+102
Gap#304
Nacional
WR 36% 51 pts
WR 19% 13 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia AC | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 48 | 56 | 51 |
| Nacional | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 13 |
Casa Pia AC
6.0%
| Oct 05 | Casa Piā¦ v Sportinā¦ | 2-0 |
| Oct 05 | Casa Piā¦ v Sp Lisbā¦ | 2-0 |
| Sep 28 | Casa Piā¦ v Guimaraā¦ | 1-1 |
| Sep 28 | Casa Piā¦ v Guimaraā¦ | 1-1 |
| Sep 22 | Casa Piā¦ v GIL Vicā¦ | 1-1 |
| Sep 22 | Casa Piā¦ v GIL Vicā¦ | 1-1 |
| Sep 14 | Casa Piā¦ v Moreireā¦ | 3-1 |
| Aug 31 | Casa Piā¦ v Estrelaā¦ | 0-1 |
| Aug 24 | Casa Piā¦ v Santa Cā¦ | 0-2 |
| Aug 24 | Casa Piā¦ v Santa Cā¦ | 0-2 |
Nacional
6.0%
| Oct 20 | Nacional v UniĆ£o dā¦ | 2-1 |
| Sep 29 | Nacional v Famalicā¦ | 0-0 |
| Sep 20 | Nacional v SC Braga | 0-3 |
| Sep 15 | Nacional v Estoril | 1-0 |
| Sep 01 | Nacional v Farense | 2-0 |
| Aug 25 | Nacional v Arouca | 1-0 |
| Aug 17 | Nacional v Sp Lisbā¦ | 1-6 |
| Aug 17 | Nacional v Sportinā¦ | 1-6 |
| Aug 10 | Nacional v AVS | 1-1 |
| Aug 10 | Nacional v AVS | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Nov 25, 2023 | Nacional | 0-0 | Casa Pia AC |
| Sep 28, 2023 | Casa Pia AC | 2-1 | Nacional |
| Feb 09, 2023 | Casa Pia AC | 2-5 | Nacional |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Casa Pia AC | 1-0 | Nacional |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Nacional | 1-2 | Casa Pia AC |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Casa Pia AC | 2-3 | Nacional |
Key Factors
Nacional struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.