Pro League · Aug 12, 2024 15:00
Arouca
PWR 45
Guimaraes
PWR 53
Arouca
PWR 45
0 - 1
FT
Guimaraes
PWR 53
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Arouca to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (15%)
1-1 (13%)
0-0 (11%)
0-2 (10%)
1-0 (9%)
1-2 (9%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack49
Defense46
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.5
Attack53
Defense59
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.2
Arouca Form
LLLLL
DOWN
Guimaraes Form
WWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.537%
BTTS42%
Under 2.563%
Arouca Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Guimaraes Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Aroucavs
1.37
GuimaraesDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum43%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#196
Arouca-80
Gap#116
Guimaraes
WR 39% 52 pts
WR 48% 69 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 55 | 60 | 52 |
| Guimaraes | 40 | 19 | 12 | 9 | 60 | 47 | 69 |
Arouca
0.0%
| Jul 20 | Arouca v Rio Ave… | 3-2 |
| May 18 | Arouca v Guimara… | 1-3 |
| May 18 | Arouca v Guimara… | 1-3 |
| May 12 | Arouca v Benfica | 5-0 |
| May 12 | Arouca v Benfica | 5-0 |
| May 05 | Arouca v Estrela… | 0-0 |
| May 05 | Arouca v Estrela… | 0-0 |
| Apr 26 | Arouca v GIL Vic… | 2-2 |
| Apr 26 | Arouca v GIL Vic… | 2-2 |
| Apr 19 | Arouca v Rio Ave… | 1-1 |
Guimaraes
8.0%
| May 18 | Guimara… v Arouca | 1-3 |
| May 18 | Guimara… v Arouca | 1-3 |
| May 11 | Guimara… v SC Braga | 2-3 |
| May 11 | Guimara… v SC Braga | 2-3 |
| May 04 | Guimara… v Rio Ave… | 2-1 |
| May 04 | Guimara… v Rio Ave… | 2-1 |
| Apr 27 | Guimara… v Boavista | 1-0 |
| Apr 27 | Guimara… v Boavista | 1-0 |
| Apr 21 | Guimara… v Sp Lisb… | 3-0 |
| Apr 21 | Guimara… v Sportin… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| May 18, 2024 | Arouca | 1-3 | Guimaraes |
| May 18, 2024 | Arouca | 1-3 | Guimaraes |
| Jan 15, 2024 | Guimaraes | 2-1 | Arouca |
| Jan 15, 2024 | Guimaraes | 2-1 | Arouca |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Guimaraes | 0-2 | Arouca |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Arouca | 2-2 | Guimaraes |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Guimaraes | 1-3 | Arouca |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Arouca | 2-2 | Guimaraes |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Arouca | 0-0 | Guimaraes |
Key Factors
Arouca struggling (5L in last 5)
Guimaraes struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.