Pro League · Oct 06, 2024 15:00

Lyon
PWR 42

Nantes
PWR 26

Lyon
PWR 42
2 - 0
FT

Nantes
PWR 26
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Lyon to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%)
2-0 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-0 (7%)
3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskConfidence 73.0% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense70
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Attack29
Defense46
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.8
Lyon Form
WLDWL
STABLE
Nantes Form
DDDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS62%
Under 2.535%
Lyon Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Nantes Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Lyonvs
1.14
NantesDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#105
Lyon+160
Gap#265
Nantes
WR 58% 71 pts
WR 22% 33 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 38 | 22 | 5 | 11 | 67 | 56 | 71 |
| Nantes | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 30 | 56 | 33 |
Lyon
10.0%
| Sep 29 | Lyon v Toulouse | 1-2 |
| Sep 22 | Lyon v Marseil… | 2-3 |
| Sep 15 | Lyon v Lens | 0-0 |
| Aug 30 | Lyon v Strasbo… | 4-3 |
| Aug 24 | Lyon v Monaco | 0-2 |
| Aug 24 | Lyon v Monaco | 0-2 |
| Aug 18 | Lyon v Rennes … | 3-0 |
| May 25 | Lyon v Paris S… | 1-2 |
| May 19 | Lyon v Strasbo… | 2-1 |
| May 19 | Lyon v Strasbo… | 2-1 |
Nantes
10.0%
| Sep 29 | Nantes v St Etie… | 2-2 |
| Sep 22 | Nantes v Angers | 1-1 |
| Sep 22 | Nantes v Angers | 1-1 |
| Sep 15 | Nantes v Reims | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | Nantes v Montpel… | 1-3 |
| Aug 25 | Nantes v Auxerre | 2-0 |
| Aug 18 | Nantes v Toulouse | 0-0 |
| Aug 07 | Nantes v Lorient | 1-1 |
| May 19 | Nantes v Monaco | 4-0 |
| May 19 | Nantes v Monaco | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Apr 07, 2024 | Nantes | 1-3 | Lyon |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Nantes | 1-3 | Lyon |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Lyon | 1-0 | Nantes |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Lyon | 1-0 | Nantes |
| Apr 05, 2023 | Nantes | 1-0 | Lyon |
| Mar 17, 2023 | Lyon | 1-1 | Nantes |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Nantes | 0-0 | Lyon |
| May 14, 2022 | Lyon | 3-2 | Nantes |
| Aug 27, 2021 | Nantes | 0-1 | Lyon |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Nantes | 1-2 | Lyon |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.