AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Mar 17, 2024

Real Madrid

Home
VS
15:00

FC Barcelona

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Real Madrid Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
FC Barcelona Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.79 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Madrid Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
FC Barcelona Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (13%) 3-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Real Madrid Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 Real Madr… vs Osasuna 2-4
Mar 10 Real Madr… vs Celta de … 4-0
Mar 10 Real Madr… vs Celta 4-0
Mar 09 Real Madr… vs Cadiz 2-0
Mar 06 Real Madr… vs RB Leipzig 1-1
Mar 03 Real Madr… vs Real Betis 2-1
Mar 02 Real Madr… vs Valencia 2-2
Feb 25 Real Madr… vs Sevilla FC 1-0
Feb 25 Real Madr… vs Sevilla FC 1-0
Feb 24 Real Madr… vs Almería 2-2
FC Barcelona Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 FC Barcel… vs Orense SC 0-0
Mar 12 FC Barcel… vs Napoli 3-1
Mar 09 FC Barcel… vs Independi… 3-1
Mar 08 FC Barcel… vs Mallorca 1-0
Mar 03 FC Barcel… vs Athletic … 0-0
Mar 03 FC Barcel… vs Ath Bilbao 0-0
Feb 24 FC Barcel… vs Getafe 4-0
Feb 21 FC Barcel… vs Napoli 1-1
Feb 17 FC Barcel… vs Celta de … 1-2
Feb 17 FC Barcel… vs Celta 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Madrid in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 14, 2024 Real Madrid 4 - 1 FC Barcelona Super Cup
Dec 03, 2023 FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Real Madrid Pro League
Final Verdict

MASTER: Real Madrid to win (75% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 2-0 75% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 49 vs 0
Real Madrid Power 49
FC Barcelona Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.